Investigative Reports

AFRICOM Commander Admits Somalia Al-Shabaab Policy Failure in Final Briefing 2025

Special Report | AFRICOM Commander General Michael Langley acknowledges...

Security Reform vs. Security Risk: Weighing the Implications of Somaliland’s Military Biometric System

Key Points Somaliland's biometric registration of security personnel aims to...

The Diplomacy of Gullibility: How Somaliland’s Foreign Ministry Keeps Falling for International Fraudsters

In what has become a familiar scene in Somaliland's...
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National Election Commission Announced Nine-Month Delay of Presidential Elections

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In their first press statement since sworn in, the new National Election Commission has announced that the constitutionally mandated presidential elections scheduled for November 13th will be delayed. The Commission stated that elections will be held in nine months starting on October 1st, and cited time, technical and financial constraints as the reason for the delaying.

The selections, confirmation by parliament, and swearing-in of the new National Election Commissioners have dragged on for months and were completed on September 7th, 2022. The previous Election Commission, led by Mr. Abdirashid Riyoraac, dissolved following a dispute among the commissioners and an accusation of corruption that prompted an investigation by the Auditor General’s Office. 

The opposition has accused President Bihi of orchestrating the disbandment of the election commission to ensure elections are not held on time. President Bihi has countered the opposition’s accusation that the delay was caused by opposition members of parliament who failed to confirm replacement commissioners

The opposition parties of Waddani and UCID have welcomed the statement from the Election Commission, although they have in the past opposed presidential term extension and staged protests where at least six civilians were killed and scores injured. It is unclear if the argument of which election, presidential or national political parties, comes first is settled between the President and the leaders of the opposition parties.

President Bihi has argued that the new parties currently amid registration are the only ones eligible to take part in Presidential Elections, whereas the opposition parties have argued that the President is trying to eliminate the current opposition parties and that the presidential elections come first.

Earlier this week, Members of Parliament approved a motion to amend the election laws Number 91/2022 and Number 14. The amendment ratified the combination of presidential and political party elections where the presidential elections will be participated by Waddani, UCID, and the ruling party of Kulmiye and the other parallel election will decide which of the new or existing parties will qualify as a national political party. Somaliland law stipulates that only three political parties can exist for a term of ten years. It is unclear if the Senate and President will approve the proposed amendment to codify it into law.

The National Election Commission’s statement that it cannot hold the presidential elections on November 13th, 2022 paves the way for the Somaliland Senate, which has the constitutional power to extend the presidential term to start deliberation and approve term extension for President Muse Bihi Abdi. In the past, the Senate has ignored the extension period recommended by the Election Commission and has given past Presidents two-year term extensions. This will be the sixth time presidential elections are delayed in Somaliland.

Despite the normalization of election delays and pitched political disputes in election season, Somaliland has earned high praises for its ability to hold one-person, one-vote elections and peaceful transfers of power. It is unclear if the latest delays in presidential elections and continued political jostling will effect in its quest for international recognition.

Dishonest Broker – Why Turkey Will Not Run Somaliland – Somalia Talks

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On December 28, 2018, Turkey named its former Ambassador to Somalia Dr. Olgan Bekar as a Special Envoy for Somalia and Somaliland Talks. Thought the former Ambassador to Somalia has had limited contact with the Government of Somaliland especially President Bihi’s current administration, he known to be very comfortable in navigating the political scene in Mogadishu.

In this report, we are examining Turkey’s history in Somaliland and Somalia and their role as mediators in the past talks.

Dr. Olgan Bekar, Turkey’s Special Envoy for Somaliland – Somalia with President Muse Bihi Abdi

Turkey is not the only country interested to have Somaliland and Somalia get back to the negotiating table and reach some sort of a settlement.

The topic has come up during President Muse Bihi Abdi’s meeting with the Ethiopian Prime Minister in Addis Ababa this week though it is unclear the extent to which they discussed the subject or if any concrete steps to get the two sides talking were agreed upon.

Somaliland and Ethiopian leaders meeting in Addis Ababa

It is important to understand that various stake holders have different expected outcomes of such talks and Somaliland might be the odd man out as it seeks to gain an amicable completion of its divorce from Somalia.

According to statement from Somaliland Presidency following President Bihi’s meeting with the new envoy Dr. Bekar on February 9, The President informed Dr. Bekar and the Turkish delegation that since past talks has not yielded any results all future dialogue between Somaliland and Somalia must include the international community.

Sources from Somaliland’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation present in the meeting with the President and the Turkish delegation stated that President Bihi also informed the Turkish envoy that bringing a level of balance in how Turkey invests in Somalia and Somaliland is a good way to show Somaliland that Turkey is impartial and a friend to Somaliland.

To understand if Turkey can be an impartial and an honest broker on Somaliland and Somalia talks and its general standing in the world community, we have spoken to Mr. Michael Rubin who is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, where he researches Arab politics, the Gulf Cooperation Council, Iran, Iraq, the Kurds, terrorism, and Turkey.

President Bihi with Michael Rubin and Presidential Economic Advisor Dr. Osman Sh Ahmed

Somaliland Chronicle: Do you think it is wise for Somaliland to accept Turkey as a mediator in Somalia talks given the Turkish Gov support and massive investment in Somalia?

Mr. Rubin: Turkey does not have a track-record as an honest broker, and President Erdoğan has an ideological agenda which does not value Somaliland’s democracy and security. It is crucial to broaden any such mediation beyond a single country.

Somaliland Chronicle: In your latest article you wrote about Turkish support for terrorism and specifically for Al-Shabaab. What is Turkey’s reasoning for supporting Al-Shabaab?

Mr. Rubin: There is no single international definition of terrorism, and so Turkey often says it is combating terrorism, but denies groups like Al-Shabaab in Somalia or Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb in Mali are terrorists. Erdoğan’s goal is a more Islamist order. His fault, though, is confusing some Islamist movements with Islam itself.

Somaliland Chronicle: President Bihi recently met with a Turkish Envoy in charge of the Somaliland/Somalia talks, do you see any value in having Turkey to mediate or be part of those talks?

Mr. Rubin: Certainly, there is value in consultation with Turkey, as Turkey retains a diplomatic presence in both Somalia and Somaliland. President Bihi is correct, however, to seek a broader mediation rather than reliance on a single country.

As President Bihi informed the Turkish delegation, there is an imbalance in how Turkey provides and and invests in Somaliland and Somalia. Let’s break down what Turkey so far done in is to Somalia:


Turkey in Somalia

Security Influence

Turkey is Somalia’s true patron state, one of its most expensive efforts is to rebuild the Somali National Army from scratch and in its own image.

The largest military force in Somalia is of course AMISOM but Turkey’s military presence dwarfs that of any individual country in the AMISOM troops stationed in Somalia. In fact, Turkey’s largest military installation outside of Turkey is in Mogadishu.

Dr. Olgan Bekar with Somalia’s Prime Minister Hassan Khaire.

The 1.5 square mile Turkish military training installation is capable of churning out 1,500 fully trained and equipped soldiers at a time. This is according to Turkish and Somali sources familiar with the facility.

Below is a tweet from Turkish Embassy in Somalia showing images of Somali military personnel being trained in Turkey.

While Turkey rates as the 18th largest military in expenditure globally, it has a fledgling arms industry and rebuilding the Somali National Army represents a lucrative opportunity to supply it with the equipment it is manufacturing.

According to a recent VOA report, in what seems to be a clear violation of the United Nations Security Council’s weapons embargo on Somalia, Turkey has been supplying armament to units of the Somali National Army it has been training.

Economic Influence

Since September 21, 2014 Albayrak Group has been operating the Mogadishu Port on a 20 year concession where the company takes 45% of all revenues from the port.

Public records show that Albayrak Group does not have a track record in managing world class ports, besides Mogadishu Port, it also manages and the Trabzon Port in the Black Sea on Turkey’s Northern border with Georgia.

Compared to Albayrak Group and the 2 ports it manages, DP World manages about 77 marine and inland terminals including Somaliland’s Berbera Port.

Other Turkish conglomerates such Enez-İnşaat and Kozuva Group are also active in Mogadishu.

Mogadishu’s Aden Abdulle Airport has been managed by a Kozuva subsidiery, Favori Airports LLC,since September 2013.

Mogadishu’s Aden Abdulle Airport

Here is the Somali Prime Minister Mr. Hassan Khaire thanking Qatar for funding road networks between Mogadishu, Afgoye and Jawhar and also thanking the Turkish Government, presumably Enez-İnşaat who according to him have “won” the contract to build said roads.

Turkey bills itself as Somalia’s rescuer and multiple visits by Erdoğan to Somalia especially in what is considered a relatively difficult time for the Somali people were designed to convey that exact message but economically, Turkey stands to gain more from Somalia and Mogadishu than it lets on.

Image result for erdogan visits mogadishu
Erdoğan and his wife in Mogadishu.

According to some estimates, the most profitable route in Turkish Airlines is the Mogadishu – Ankara route. And aside from the large visible projects, there are tens of thousands of Turkish citizens living and working in Mogadishu.

Despite the obvious economic gains Turkey is making in Somalia, it is gearing up to do even more business in that war-torn country.

Getting involved in one of the least stable country in the world, Turkey is employing the concept of first mover advantage. This means less competition from the Chinese and other actors vying for influence in Africa.

Turkey heavy bet on Somalia and specifically Mogadishu is yielding economic results for Turkey beyond what Erdoğan has expected. In fact, Turkey’s largest embassy in the world is not where you would expect, like Washington DC, Brussels or Berlin, it is in Mogadishu, Somalia.

One of the most attractive features of Turkey’s patronage of Somalia is it is non-interference posture in Somalia’s domestic politics. It is worth nothing that Somalia ranked lowest in global corruption index and any country that is willing to look the other way is a welcome reprieve from the usual admonishment for President Farmajo’s weak administration.

Turkey in Somaliland

The most visible contribution of Turkey to Somaliland is a recent 216 medical machines donated by TIKA, the Turkish aid agency to Hargeisa Group Hospital.

Although this particular instance has been widely publicized by TIKA, Somaliland Chronicle has been unable to locate anything of note done in Somaliland either by Turkish Government or it is aid agency TIKA.

There are, however, multiple unfulfilled pledges by the Turkish Government in the past to help build roads in Somaliland according to multiple former and current Somaliland Government officials. None of these pledges have materialized.

One thing of note is that Turkey has been particularly adept in dangling a carrot of aid and development or simply inviting them to Istanbul on a whirlwind of meetings and tours to get them to buy into the importance of Somaliland and Somalia talks.

No other country has put so much effort to try to mediate Somaliland and Somalia as much as Turkey. In fact, this might be the only thing Turkey has done in Somaliland. There were many rounds of talks that hosted by the Turks in the past and personally supervised by President Erdoğan himself, unfortunately, these talks have been a disaster for Somaliland.

Turkey’s obsession with Somaliland is rooted in the simple fact that the rift between Gulf states of UAE and Saudi Arabia on one side and Qatar, Turkey and Iran on one side has been playing out in Somaliland and Somalia.

Image result for somaliland dpworld signing
President of Somaliland HE Muse Bihi Abdi and DP World CEO Mr. Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem

The United Arab Emirates base in Berbera and DP World managing the Port gives the UAE and its ally Saudi Arabia an advantage and a foothold in the strategic 850 kilometers of Red Sea coastline with a direct access to Bab Al-mandab.

Turkey and Qatar has been spending heavily in trying to unseat the Emirates from both the military base and the Berbera Port by mobilizing the Somali government to oppose these deals. Additionally, Turkey has been advancing particular talking points that have been seeping into public discourse in Somaliland such as the importance of Somaliland – Somalia talks, the ramifications of hosting a foreign army in Somaliland via the UAE base and the deterioration of service at the Berbera Port. These same exact talking points are parroted by many civil organizations and opposition parties in Somaliland.

Somaliland has repeatedly signaled it’s willingness to talk to Somalia but its demand for the international community including the United States, United Kingdom and the European Union to get involved and President Bihi’s impossible task for the Turks to raise their level of support for Somaliland to something comparable to Somalia’s almost guarantees that Turkey’s role will be a lot smaller in future dialogue between the two countries.

Taiwan Deepens Somaliland Ties with $2.5 Million Aid Amid Shifting Geopolitics

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The significant cash donation for drought relief is the latest example of a deepening partnership, a relationship that has recently weathered a diplomatic storm involving Somalia, China, and the United States.

HARGEISA – In a move highlighting its steadfast commitment to its partnership with the Republic of Somaliland, Taiwan delivered a $2.5 million humanitarian aid package on June 12, 2025. The funds, presented by Taiwanese Ambassador Allen C. Lou to Somaliland’s Minister of Finance and Economic Development, Abdillahi Hassan Adan , are a direct response to an urgent appeal made by the Hargeisa government in April 2025.

This timely financial support complements Taiwan’s much larger, long-term investments in Somaliland, which include the landmark Taiwan Medical Center. This ongoing project at the Hargeisa Group Hospital has been described as the most significant investment in the nation’s healthcare infrastructure since the colonial era.

This support would not only address the immediate risks but also represent a strategic investment in preserving democratic values and regional stability in the Horn of Africa,”
Ambassador Allen Lou
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A Partnership Forged on Mutual Interests

At the handover ceremony, Minister Abdillahi Hassan Adan lauded the extensive and multifaceted nature of the relationship. The partnership portfolio extends far beyond humanitarian aid, encompassing a wide array of development projects across numerous sectors.

This cooperation includes tangible infrastructure projects like the Hargeisa Airport road, significant investments in human capital through higher education scholarships, and crucial financial backing for Somaliland’s 2024 elections. Furthermore, the two nations are actively working together in fields such as healthcare, agriculture, and ICT, reflecting a comprehensive approach known as the “Taiwan Model,” which is designed to directly benefit the people of Somaliland.

Navigating a Hostile—And Shifting—Neighborhood

The burgeoning Hargeisa-Taipei axis has long been a source of diplomatic friction, drawing condemnation from both Mogadishu and Beijing. This hostility peaked in April 2025 when Somalia’s government, reportedly under pressure from China, banned Taiwanese passport holders from entering or transiting its territory.

However, in a significant recent development, the ban has been rescinded. The policy reversal was confirmed during a U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing on June 4, 2025. In response to direct questioning from Senator Ted Cruz about China’s malign influence, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Troy Fitrell of the Bureau of African Affairs confirmed that the State Department had engaged with Mogadishu on the issue and the ban was lifted.

This pressure from Washington is underpinned by the Taiwan Allies International Protection and Enhancement Initiative (TAIPEI) Act, which allows the U.S. to take action against governments that undermine Taiwan.

While the $2.5 million in aid will be crucial for immediate drought relief, the enduring story is the resilience of a partnership forged in shared values and mutual defiance of international pressure. The reversal of the passport ban demonstrates that the Somaliland-Taiwan relationship does not exist in a vacuum and that actions against it can trigger responses from powerful allies.

As Somaliland continues to build its case for international recognition, its strategic partnership with Taiwan remains a cornerstone of its foreign policy—a clear signal that in a world of complex geopolitics, some friendships are built on more than just formal recognition.

President Cirro’s Foreign Trips: Four Visits, No Progress

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Hon. Mohamed Hussein Jama (Rambo)

In just under six months, President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdillahi “Cirro” has embarked on four international visits—twice to the United Arab Emirates, once to Djibouti, and once to Kenya. For a nation that has struggled for decades to gain international recognition and meaningful diplomatic partnerships, these trips should have been opportunities for progress: joint declarations, formal agreements, or at the very least, symbolic gestures of goodwill.

But the results? Nothing.

No joint statements. No signed accords. No diplomatic frameworks. The UAE’s state media didn’t even acknowledge the president’s visit—an ominous silence. Djibouti offered no public commentary, and Kenya’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement that bordered on polite disapproval. The only tangible moment was a photo-op handshake with President Ruto. The government’s social media platforms did not even post this.

Even more troubling is the composition of the president’s delegations. Some of those who accompanied him—especially on the trips to Djibouti and Kenya—were neither elected officials nor constitutionally mandated representatives. Yet they appeared in high-level meetings and diplomatic events, where issues of national security and sovereignty were at stake. And despite the sensitivity of such visits, no senior official from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Hargeisa was included in the delegations, not as a lead diplomat, protocol officer, or policy advisor. Foreign policy is not a personal affair. It demands institutional presence and professional continuity. The country’s foreign ministry was totally absent.

Behind closed doors, the picture deteriorates further.

The trips were not arranged through standard government protocols. Instead, the president used privately chartered flights—at great cost to taxpayers. Most notably, the flight to Kenya was operated by a private Kenyan businessman with close familial ties to the president. This raises serious ethical concerns: transparency, conflict of interest, and misuse of public funds for arrangements that bypass institutional oversight.

If the president charters flights through relatives, then what we’re witnessing isn’t just poor governance—it’s nepotism. Public funds are not a family privilege. The state does not exist to enrich a circle of confidants.

Diplomacy isn’t an inheritance passed down through a family tree. It’s a national duty—one that demands legitimacy, experience, and constitutional authority. Allowing unelected and unvetted individuals, who are the president’s family, into strategic diplomatic conversations undermines the state’s credibility and threatens its long-term interests. It also undermines the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the traditional diplomatic channels.

Previous administrations understood the gravity of foreign policy. Take, for instance, President Silanyo’s historic visit to the United Arab Emirates. That trip wasn’t just symbolic—it laid the groundwork for the DP World investment in Berbera and led to a deeper diplomatic breakthrough: the mutual exchange of liaison offices between Somaliland and the UAE—something that had never existed before.

Ironically, that very deal and diplomatic gain were harshly criticized by then opposition leader Abdirahman “Cirro”—the same man who now visits the UAE without securing even a media mention, let alone a formal agreement.

Similarly, President Muse Bihi’s visit to Kenya culminated in a formal joint communiqué—an unprecedented milestone that acknowledged Somaliland’s place in the regional diplomatic sphere. That kind of tangible outcome is what leadership looks like.

In contrast, this current administration has delivered no agreements, no recognition, not even in the form of symbolic political acknowledgement and no clear diplomatic path. At a time when Somaliland faces economic hardship, security concerns, and diplomatic isolation, the people demand more than empty travel logs. Every presidential trip must be justified—not just by intent, but by impact. Every shilling spent must bring value home.

Yes, the president took a photo with President Ruto. Yes, he shook hands. But diplomacy is not photography. Leadership is not symbolism.

A handshake cannot substitute for a policy. A press photo cannot replace a signed agreement.

Somaliland is not a one-man project. It is a nation of proud citizens who demand substance over spectacle. If these travels cannot secure real results, they must at least reflect the people’s voice, not the ambitions of a few.

Going forward, Somaliland needs a clear and principled foreign policy, centered on national interest, executed through transparent processes, and reflective of the collective will of its people. The inner circle of the president should be individuals with a clear mandate who could be held accountable. Informal and familial relationships engrained in state affairs are not only nepotism, but they also undermine state institutions and are corruptible practices.

Without accountability, diplomacy risks becoming a parade—visually impressive, but powerless in practice.

About the Author

Hon. Mohamed Hussein Jama (Rambo). Member, House of Representatives, Somaliland Parliament

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Disclaimer: The viewpoints expressed by the authors do not necessarily reflect the opinions or perspectives of Somaliland Chronicle and its staff.

Notice: This article by Somaliland Chronicle is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work are permitted, provided proper attribution is given.

STATE SPONSORED TRAFFICKING: Why I Believe Trump Was Right to Include Somalia in the Travel Ban

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“Somalia, no government, no police, no safety, no security — just anarchy.”
— Donald J. Trump
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These were the stark words spoken by former President Donald Trump when defending his controversial travel ban in 2017 — a ban that placed Somalia among a list of countries deemed too unstable or poorly governed to safely manage the movement of their citizens abroad.

At the time, many dismissed the statement as exaggerated, even offensive. But now, years later, an embarrassing and dangerous scandal involving Somali officials at an international summit in Switzerland has resurrected the very concerns Trump raised. And this time, the facts speak louder than rhetoric.

A Delegation or a Smuggling Ring?


In early June 2025, a Somali delegation was sent to represent the country at the 113th session of the International Labour Organization (ILO) in Geneva, Switzerland. The group was meant to participate in high-level discussions about labor rights, development, and international cooperation. On paper, this was a routine diplomatic mission.

But what happened instead was a textbook example of how weak institutions and rampant corruption have turned Somalia’s diplomatic efforts into international security risks.

Of the 23 delegates originally listed, only 10 actually showed up for the conference. The remaining 13 members vanished — not due to illness or scheduling conflicts — but as part of a deliberate and premeditated escape into Switzerland and other parts of Europe.

These individuals allegedly paid thousands of dollars each to secure their Swiss visas. According to credible sources, the money was funneled to — and divided by — Federal Minister of Labour and Social Affairs Yusuf Mohamed Adan and Omar Faruk Osman, Secretary-General of the Federation of Somali Trade Unions. What was sold to the world as an official government delegation was, in truth, a paid migration pipeline disguised under the Somali flag.

Why This Matters More Than Ever


Some may be tempted to laugh off the incident as just another story from a country long plagued by instability. But to do so would be dangerously naive. This is not merely a case of poor planning or bureaucratic incompetence — it’s state-enabled trafficking.

And the implications go far beyond Switzerland or even Europe.

When government officials abuse their power to smuggle people abroad under the cover of diplomatic missions, they compromise international security. They erode trust between nations. And they open the door for much darker forces — including terrorist groups like Al-Shabaab — to exploit the very same routes, documents, and diplomatic privileges.

This is where the scandal moves from corruption to national security emergency.

If diplomatic passports, official delegation slots, and travel visas can be bought with bribes, then what is to stop Al-Shabaab operatives or sympathizers from purchasing their way into Europe? The group has a well-documented history of infiltration — not just through backdoor smuggling routes, but through institutional compromise. These aren’t just hypotheticals; they are strategic concerns for intelligence agencies across Europe and the U.S.

Recent investigations have revealed alarming levels of visa fraud linked to Somali civil servants and government officials. According to a 2024 report by the Somaliland Chronicle, of 700 U.S. visas issued to Somali civil servants, an astounding 600 resulted in overstays, signaling systemic abuse of the visa system. Such staggering figures not only expose rampant corruption but also raise profound security concerns.

The fraudulent visa process reportedly costs between $20,000 to $25,000 per visa, suggesting a lucrative black market operation potentially funneling millions of dollars into corrupt Somali officials’ pockets. This financial exploitation adds another layer of complexity to the problem, where political manipulation benefits certain factions within the Somali government, undermining genuine governance.

Let’s be clear: it only takes one bad actor to slip through a corrupt channel like this to cause irreparable damage. And in Somalia, where terrorist networks often overlap with political and business interests, the lines are dangerously blurred. This is why nations enact travel bans. This is why vetting is not just about documentation — it’s about trust. And Somalia’s institutions, by all accounts, have proven untrustworthy.

When travel visas become tools for criminal enrichment or terrorist movement, the international community has no choice but to respond with caution — and, in some cases, with restriction.

Trump’s Travel Ban: Revisited in Light of Reality
When President Trump imposed the travel ban on Somalia, he was criticized for targeting a vulnerable population. And indeed, the vast majority of Somalis — honest, hardworking people — should not be held accountable for the actions of corrupt elites.

But Trump’s rationale was not built solely on race, religion, or prejudice. It was rooted in national security concerns — concerns that were mocked at the time but now seem prescient.

When Trump said Somalia had “no government, no police, no security, no safety — just anarchy,” he wasn’t inventing a narrative. He was summarizing a reality that, unfortunately, keeps proving itself again and again. If a delegation to a respected international summit can be turned into a human trafficking scheme, what further proof do we need that Somalia is not in control of its own borders, identity systems, or diplomatic processes?

The Real Victims: The Somali People and International Trust
It’s important to remember who suffers most from these scandals. Not just the Western countries who must adjust their immigration policies, but the ordinary Somali citizens whose chances at legitimate travel, study, or asylum are diminished by the criminality of their own government.

The more Somalia’s name is associated with corruption, fraud, and instability, the more doors will be closed to genuine Somali applicants. And the more foreign governments will be justified in treating Somalia not as a partner — but as a risk.

Conclusion: When Leadership Sells Its People
What happened in Geneva is not a diplomatic mishap — it’s a national embarrassment and a security wake-up call. The fact that passports and visas can be bought through Somali government channels shows a system in collapse. It reveals a leadership class not interested in representing its people, but in selling them — one visa at a time.

Trump’s words, once dismissed as harsh or simplistic, now carry the weight of evidence. Whether or not one agrees with his politics, the reality is clear: Somalia’s internal failures do not stay internal. They travel. They migrate. And they destabilize.

Until Somalia can prove it has functioning institutions, enforce accountability, and protect the integrity of its diplomatic processes, no country should be blamed for taking precautions.

In this case, Trump was right.

About the Author

Hussein Egeh is a strategic communications and mass media specialist living in Hargeisa Somaliland.

Creative Commons License

Disclaimer: The viewpoints expressed by the authors do not necessarily reflect the opinions or perspectives of Somaliland Chronicle and its staff.

Notice: This article by Somaliland Chronicle is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work are permitted, provided proper attribution is given.

Trump Taps Anderson for AFRICOM as Langley Plans Somaliland Visit

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Outgoing commander’s expected June trip to Hargeisa follows dramatic reversal on Somalia security claims

The Trump administration has nominated Air Force Lt. Gen. Dagvin Anderson to replace Marine Gen. Michael Langley at Africa Command, setting the stage for a leadership transition as Langley prepares for what sources say will be a long-awaited visit to Somaliland in June.

Anderson’s nomination, announced by the Pentagon on Wednesday, comes at a particularly awkward moment. Just days ago, Langley publicly admitted that Al-Shabaab remains “entrenched, wealthy and large” in Somalia despite billions in U.S. assistance. The admission represents a reversal from his earlier optimism—and raises questions about Anderson’s own track record of assessments.

Somaliland Visit Finally Taking Shape

A senior Somaliland government official, speaking on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter, confirmed that discussions about Langley’s visit have been ongoing for months, although no firm dates have been finalized. The visit preparations have reportedly intensified following President Cirro’s inauguration.

The visit would mark the highest-level AFRICOM engagement with Somaliland since Gen. Stephen Townsend toured Berbera’s strategic facilities in 2022. For Hargeisa, which has lobbied intensively for greater U.S. military cooperation, Langley’s trip represents a potential breakthrough—especially given his newfound skepticism about Mogadishu’s capabilities.

AFRICOM did not respond to request for information on the matter.

From Optimism to Reality Check

The contrast between Langley’s current assessment and his previous statements is striking. When Somaliland Chronicle asked him last June about signs of Al-Shabaab’s resurgence, Langley described himself as “measuredly optimistic” and pointed to joint operations with Somali forces as evidence the militant group was weakening.

That optimism evaporated after Al-Shabaab overran Adan Yabal, sending U.S.-trained Danab special forces fleeing and capturing millions in American-supplied equipment. In his final remarks from Nairobi, Langley acknowledged that Al-Shabaab remains “entrenched, wealthy and large” despite decades of U.S. assistance.

Anderson’s Baggage

If confirmed by the Senate, Anderson would become the first Air Force officer to lead AFRICOM. But his nomination carries its own complications. As commander of Special Operations Command Africa from 2019 to 2021, Anderson repeatedly praised Somali forces’ capabilities.

In May 2021, just months before leaving the position, Anderson stated that “Somali forces continuously show their advancing capability, fighting back and repelling violent extremist organizations.” Those forces he praised? The same Danab units that abandoned their positions at Adan Yabal last week.

Earlier in 2021, Anderson also led the first U.S. engagement in Somalia following troop repositioning, affirming commitment to “our Somali and regional partners and support their fight against violent extremism.”

Senate Armed Services Committee members are expected to grill Anderson about these assessments during confirmation hearings. With Congress already moving to slash Somalia funding—Sen. Jim Risch’s new legislation would impose strict conditions on peacekeeping money—Anderson will face tough questions about his judgment.

Berbera Back in Play?

For Somaliland, the leadership change at AFRICOM could’nt come at a better time. President Cirro’s administration has made expanding military partnerships a priority, and Berbera’s strategic location on the Gulf of Aden remains a compelling asset for any serious U.S. strategy in the region.

The timing is particularly significant given China’s growing influence in the region. Somalia’s recent decision to ban Taiwanese passport holders—a clear nod to Beijing—has raised concerns in Washington. Combined with the loss of U.S. military access in Niger, AFRICOM faces a shrinking footprint across Africa.

Corruption and Consequences

The Trump administration’s decision to cut funding for Somali forces, including canceling $400 monthly salary supplements for Danab soldiers, followed damning audits revealing widespread corruption. Officials discovered padded fuel requisitions, phantom soldiers on payrolls, and food rations being sold on the black market.

These revelations supported longstanding Somaliland arguments about international aid effectiveness in Mogadishu. The international community has invested heavily in Somalia for decades with limited improvement.

Anderson, a Michigan native commissioned in 1992, holds a masters degree from Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. His background includes stints as deputy director for operations at Indo-Pacific Command and overseeing the controversial withdrawal of U.S. forces from Somalia in 2020-21.

What’s Next

As Langley prepares for his Somaliland visit—assuming it actually happens this time—the question becomes whether Anderson will continue this engagement or revert to the traditional Somalia-first approach that has dominated U.S. policy for three decades.

Somaliland Chronicle first reported in December that Langley was “set to visit Somaliland in the coming days,” citing sources familiar with internal deliberations. That visit, expected amid what the publication described as “a notable shift in U.S. foreign policy dynamics,” ultimately did not materialize.

The Senate has yet to schedule Anderson’s confirmation hearing, but the combination of his past statements, Langley’s reversal, and Congress’ growing skepticism about Somalia aid suggests it won’t be a smooth process.

One thing seems certain: whoever leads AFRICOM next will inherit a Somalia policy facing significant challenges and a Somaliland seeking greater recognition. After 30 years of substantial investment in Mogadishu with limited results, Washington may be reconsidering its regional approach.

AL-ICTISAAM: The Lurking Threat to Somaliland’s Sovereignty and Stability

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Abstract

Al-ICTISAAM is an ideologically motivated movement that operates covertly within Somaliland under the guise of religious, humanitarian, and educational initiatives. While publicly distancing itself from overt political activity, Al-ICTISAAM is widely believed to pursue a long-term agenda that directly threatens the sovereignty, independence, and constitutional integrity of the Republic of Somaliland. This article provides a comprehensive examination of the origins, ideological underpinnings, and clandestine operations of the group, with particular focus on its strategic objectives in Somaliland. Furthermore, it outlines policy recommendations aimed at neutralizing its influence and safeguarding Somaliland’s hard-won independence and democratic foundations.

1. Introduction

The Republic of Somaliland, an unrecognized but de facto independent state in the Horn of Africa, has emerged over the past three decades as a beacon of peace and democratic governance in a turbulent region. However, this progress is now under increasing threat from both state and non-state actors, among whom Al-ICTISAAM poses a particularly insidious challenge. Unlike conventional threats such as terrorism or external military aggression, Al-ICTISAAM represents a subtler, ideologically driven infiltration aimed at undermining Somaliland’s statehood from within.

Operating under the guise of religious piety and educational service, Al-ICTISAAM has steadily expanded both the scale and sophistication of its activities in Somaliland. Its adherents have successfully infiltrated vital organs of the state, including the judiciary and legislative branches, while simultaneously extending their reach through traditional clan leadership structures and a widespread network of madrassas, private universities, and religious institutions. If left unchallenged, this covert expansion threatens to undermine the core principles upon which the Somaliland state is built, erode its hard-earned democratic achievements, and reorient its trajectory toward the irredentist vision of a unified Greater Somalia.

2. Origins and Ideological Foundations

Al-ICTISAAM is not a recent creation. It is a direct ideological and organizational descendant of Al-Itihaad al-Islamiya, an armed Islamist movement active in the Somali territories during the late 1980s and 1990s. While Al-Itihaad was eventually weakened by regional counterterrorism measures—particularly military operations by Ethiopian forces—its ideological residue survived in various fragmented groups, of which Al-ICTISAAM is the most prominent.

Ideologically, Al-ICTISAAM is rooted in Salafi-Wahhabi doctrines, but its operational philosophy closely aligns with the Egyptian al-Jama’a al-Islamiyya—a group known for its rigid fundamentalism and strategic use of societal infiltration. Unlike mainstream Salafi scholars who reject political involvement, Al-ICTISAAM subscribes to the concept of political Islam, where the state must be governed according to their narrow interpretation of Sharia. In the Somali context, this ideology is fused with Somali irredentism—the belief that all Somali-inhabited territories in the Horn of Africa (including parts of Ethiopia and Kenya) must be united under one Islamic Somali polity.

This blend of religious fundamentalism and territorial revanchism makes Al-ICTISAAM a uniquely dangerous entity. It not only challenges the internal sovereignty of Somaliland but also projects a regional threat to neighboring countries with significant Somali populations.

3. Al-ICTISAAM in Somaliland: Disguise and Penetration

Due to Somaliland’s firm stance on its independence from the Federal Republic of Somalia, Al-ICTISAAM does not operate under its formal name within its borders. Instead, it masquerades as a network of humanitarian, religious, and educational NGOs, thereby avoiding direct confrontation with the authorities while establishing strongholds in communities.

3.1. Educational Institutions as Instruments of Indoctrination

One of the most strategic tools employed by Al-ICTISAAM is its ownership and management of educational institutions. These institutions present themselves as centers of Islamic learning but serve as recruitment and indoctrination hubs for young minds, particularly students with limited exposure to formal education.

Quranic schools, or dugsi, are especially vulnerable. These institutions provide little to no exposure to civic education, critical thinking, or national history—making their students easy targets for ideological manipulation. Through a curriculum heavily infused with Salafi dogma and pan-Somali narratives, students are gradually alienated from Somaliland’s state institutions and constitutional values.

3.2. Institutional Infiltration

Alarming reports indicate that Al-ICTISAAM has successfully planted sympathizers and operatives in various branches of the Somaliland government. Perhaps most troubling is the pending appointment of individuals affiliated with the movement to high judicial positions, including the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. Such infiltration enables the group to influence legislation, block legal reforms, and protect its members from prosecution.

Furthermore, the movement boasts sympathizers in the House of Representatives and the Council of Ministers, some of whom promote a conciliatory narrative toward unification with Somalia under religious or pan-Somali pretenses.

3.3. Exploiting Traditional Authority for Strategic Legitimacy

In addition to educational and institutional infiltration, Al-ICTISAAM employs a more subtle yet highly effective method to gain grassroots legitimacy and political access—strategic appropriation of traditional clan leadership roles, particularly the titles of Sultans, Garads, and other customary leaders.

This tactic reflects a sophisticated understanding of the deep sociopolitical structure of Somali society, where customary institutions often wield greater influence than formal state mechanisms, particularly in rural and semi-urban areas. By positioning their members or sympathizers as clan elders, Al-ICTISAAM seeks to bypass state authority and embed itself directly within the cultural and communal frameworks that shape public opinion and local decision-making.

These positions are not merely symbolic. In Somaliland’s hybrid governance system, traditional authorities play a critical role in conflict resolution, electoral mobilization, inter-clan negotiations, and even in legitimizing or delegitimizing political actors. Control over such roles gives Al-ICTISAAM unparalleled influence to shape political discourse, sway community allegiances, and obstruct government policies that contradict their ideological objectives.

Moreover, once installed as traditional leaders, these individuals often mask their ideological affiliations under the guise of cultural conservatism, making it difficult for authorities or communities to distinguish between genuine community leadership and covert ideological activism. In this way, Al-ICTISAAM manages to legitimize its presence without raising immediate suspicion, using the language of tradition and clan unity to advance a deeply political and religiously radical agenda.

This exploitation of clan leadership not only reinforces the group’s influence at the grassroots level but also facilitates its penetration into formal governance structures, as traditional elders often serve as intermediaries in government consultations, appointments, and conflict mediation efforts. If left unaddressed, this tactic will continue to erode Somaliland’s state-centric governance model and empower anti-state actors within the very foundations of Somali society.

4. Reaction to Somaliland’s National Identity

Al-ICTISAAM has grown increasingly alarmed by the national consciousness exhibited by the people of Somaliland, particularly the youth. The most visible manifestation of this was the 2025 celebrations of 18th May, the day Somaliland commemorates its withdrawal from the failed union with Somalia.

This year’s celebration was particularly vibrant, with participation from all sectors of society—including schoolchildren, civil servants, and religious leaders. This display of unity and patriotism directly contradicted Al-ICTISAAM’s internal assessments, which falsely suggested that their efforts were softening public attitudes toward reunification.

In reaction:

  • The group boycotted National Day celebrations and prohibited students under their influence from carrying the Somaliland flag.
  • Senior figures within the movement pressured respected scholars, such as Sheikh Mustafe Haji Ismail, to publicly criticize the symbolism of the flag—claiming its use distorted Islamic principles.
  • Inflammatory sermons by Sheikh Umal, a Nairobi-based spiritual leader, called on the group to “leave no stone unturned” to salvate the country from reckless politicians—coded language that can incite subversive actions.
  • Another cleric, Sheikh Shibili, irresponsibly alleged that homosexuals were running schools in Hargeisa, thereby inciting panic and creating an environment conducive to extremist violence.

These actions illustrate the group’s desperation and its willingness to exploit religious rhetoric to instigate unrest and delegitimize Somaliland’s democratic institutions.

5. Selective Outrage and the Weaponization of Religious Symbols

Among the most glaring contradictions in Al-ICTISAAM’s ideological posture is its selective outrage concerning the use of religious symbols—particularly those featured on national flags. During the 2025 commemoration of Somaliland’s Independence Day, the group went to great lengths to condemn the public display of the national flag, citing supposed violations of Islamic decorum due to the presence of the Shahada (Islamic testimony of faith) on the flag. These denunciations were not only voiced locally by their affiliates but were also echoed by their foreign-based spiritual leadership, including Nairobi-based clerics such as Sheikh Umal and Sheikh Shibli.

Yet, this criticism is both disingenuous and hypocritical when placed in a broader Islamic and geopolitical context. Notably, Saudi Arabia—regarded by Wahhabi-oriented Somali clerics as the spiritual epicenter of Islam—has never faced internal clerical objections for the use of its national flag, which also bears the Shahada, during national holidays, public events, or even on consumer goods. Saudi citizens frequently wave the flag in mass celebrations, including sporting events and Independence Day festivities, without drawing any rebuke from their religious establishment.

This inconsistency raises an unavoidable question: Why do Somali clerics influenced by Wahhabi ideology selectively object to Somaliland’s patriotic expressions, while remaining silent about identical practices in Saudi Arabia, a country they revere? If the display of a flag bearing the Shahada is inherently un-Islamic, then why is this criticism only reserved for the people of Somaliland?

The answer lies not in theology, but in political expediency and ideological subversion. Al-ICTISAAM’s opposition is not rooted in genuine religious doctrine but is part of a calculated effort to delegitimize Somaliland’s sovereignty and national identity by weaponizing religion. By framing the celebration of national pride as a theological violation, the group aims to alienate citizens from their national institutions, particularly the youth who are increasingly embracing Somaliland’s distinct identity and democratic values.

These manipulations are not theological clarifications but ideological instruments, carefully crafted to erode national cohesion and sow religious and political discord. They are designed to instill guilt, shame, and confusion among patriotic citizens, thereby opening the door for Al-ICTISAAM’s broader goal of reintegration into a pan-Somali Islamic state.

6. Strategic Goals of Al-ICTISAAM in Somaliland

The long-term strategic objectives of Al-ICTISAAM in Somaliland are multifaceted:

  1. Undermine National Sovereignty: The core goal is to reverse Somaliland’s independence and reintegrate it into the Somali federal framework as a stepping stone for broader irredentist ambitions.
  2. Capture Key State Institutions: Through infiltration, the group seeks to exert influence on policymaking, judicial decisions, and traditional clan structures, ensuring that pro-Somaliland voices are marginalized or neutralized.
  3. Control Education and Religious Discourse: By dominating religious education and controlling Islamic institutions, Al-ICTISAAM aims to rewrite national identity in its own ideological terms.
  4. Dismantle Civic Nationalism: Promoting a transnational Islamist identity over civic nationalism is key to fragmenting Somaliland’s internal unity and replacing it with religious allegiance to an abstract, pan-Somali caliphate.

7. Recommendations: Policy Options to Neutralize the Threat

Given the existential threat posed by Al-ICTISAAM, the Somaliland government must respond with a combination of legal, educational, intelligence, and diplomatic measures. The following policy options are proposed:

7.1. Educational Reforms and Oversight

  • All private religious and educational institutions must be licensed, regulated, and periodically audited by the Ministry of Education and Higher Studies.
  • Institutions found to propagate anti-state ideology must be nationalized or shut down.
  • Develop a standardized national curriculum that integrates civic education, critical thinking, and Somaliland’s constitutional history from primary through tertiary levels.

7.2. Political and Civil Service Vetting

  • Introduce a mandatory security and ideological background check for all candidates running for elected office and those nominated to civil service posts.
  • Strengthen the role of the National Intelligence Agency to vet appointees for affiliation with extremist movements or foreign ideologies.
  • Establish a watchlist mechanism that flags individuals or organizations promoting anti-state propaganda.

7.3. Legal Measures and Accountability

  • Introduce legislation to criminalize covert support for foreign-based Islamist movements that threaten the constitutional order.
  • Freeze the assets of institutions and individuals found to be in material support of Al-ICTISAAM’s operations.
  • Offer a legal framework for voluntary disengagement, where members of the movement can renounce their affiliation and undergo periodic monitoring and deradicalization.

7.4. Public Awareness Campaigns

  • Launch nationwide awareness campaigns that expose the ideological agenda of Al-ICTISAAM and promote Somaliland’s achievements in peace, democracy, and development.
  • Collaborate with respected Islamic scholars who support Somaliland’s statehood to rebut extremist interpretations of Islam in mosques and media platforms.

7.5. Diplomatic Engagement

  • Engage with regional allies, including Ethiopia, Kenya, and Djibouti, to monitor cross-border activities and funding streams associated with Al-ICTISAAM.
  • Seek support from the African Union and international partners to classify Al-ICTISAAM as a security threat similar to Al-Shabaab and other transnational extremist groups.

8. Conclusion

Al-ICTISAAM represents a serious and imminent threat to the Republic of Somaliland. Cloaked in religious legitimacy and operating under the radar of traditional security paradigms, the movement seeks to undo three decades of peacebuilding, institution-building, and democratic governance. Its tactics are not merely ideological but deeply strategic—aimed at hijacking the state from within rather than through direct confrontation.

If Somaliland is to preserve its independence, territorial integrity, and democratic values, it must act decisively. This requires a coordinated approach that integrates intelligence, education, law enforcement, civil society, and diplomacy. The ideological battle for Somaliland’s future will not be won in the battlefield, but in the minds of its youth, the resilience of its institutions, and the unity of its people.

About the Author

Abdullahi Hussein is a PhD candidate in Peace & Development Studies and visiting Professor of Public Policy as well as Ethics in Government at the Civil Service Institute, Hargeisa, Somaliland. He can be reached at abhussein1988[at]gmail.com

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Somaliland President’s Diplomatic Tour: A Mixed Reception in the Horn of Africa

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By Mohammed Abdillahi

President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdillahi “Irro” of Somaliland concluded a significant diplomatic tour in May 2025, visiting neighboring Djibouti and regional powerhouse Kenya. The visits aimed to strengthen bilateral relations and advance Somaliland’s foreign policy objectives. While the trip to Kenya saw notable developments, the reception in Djibouti underscored the persistent challenges Somaliland faces in its quest for international recognition.

Djibouti: A Low-Key Affair Amidst Strategic Interests

President Irro’s visit to Djibouti was his first to an African nation since taking office. Initial reports suggested a warm reception, with Djiboutian officials reportedly referring to Irro as “President of the Republic of Somaliland.” However, deeper observation revealed a more nuanced reality.

During the two presidents’ discussions, the flag of Somaliland was conspicuously absent from official displays. This subtle but significant detail highlights Djibouti’s delicate balancing act, as it seeks to maintain its relationship with Somaliland while adhering to the international consensus that still considers Somaliland part of Somalia.

Crucially, discussions regarding Somaliland’s international recognition were not on the agenda. Instead, the focus was primarily on issues of mutual economic interest, particularly the utilization of Djibouti’s fiber optic cable network in Somaliland. President Irro toured Djibouti Telecom’s Haramous submarine cable station, the country’s undersea fiber-optic hub, signaling Somaliland’s keen interest in enhancing its digital infrastructure through Djiboutian connectivity. While this collaboration promises economic benefits for both sides, it reinforces that Djibouti’s engagement with Hargeisa remains largely pragmatic and economic, rather than political endorsement of Somaliland’s sovereignty.

The low-level reception, devoid of the customary diplomatic symbols of statehood, suggests Djibouti’s cautious approach, especially in light of its strained relations with Somaliland following the controversial Ethiopia-Somaliland Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) in 2024. Djibouti, heavily reliant on Ethiopian trade, was reportedly concerned by the MoU, which offered Ethiopia a naval base in exchange for potential recognition of Somaliland. President Irro’s visit to Djibouti appears to have been a move to mend these ties, focusing on shared economic opportunities rather than contentious political issues.

Kenya: A Step Towards Greater Engagement, Despite Somali Opposition

In contrast to the subdued reception in Djibouti, President Irro’s visit to Kenya, his third foreign trip since assuming office, saw more overt displays of engagement. Despite strong opposition from the Federal Government of Somalia and initial statements from Kenya’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs reaffirming Somalia’s territorial integrity, President Irro was received by Kenya’s Cabinet Secretary for Mining, Blue Economy, and Maritime Affairs, Hassan Ali Joho.

A significant development during the Kenyan visit was the inauguration of Somaliland’s new diplomatic mission office in Nairobi on May 29, 2025. This move, a relocation and upgrade of Somaliland’s existing liaison office, proceeded despite Mogadishu’s sustained lobbying efforts to prevent it. While Kenya’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs reiterated that the mission does not “enjoy the imprimatur of the Republic of Kenya,” President William Ruto met with President Irro on the same day, a clear indication of Kenya’s willingness to pursue its own regional interests.

Discussions between President Irro and President Ruto reportedly covered a range of bilateral and regional issues, including trade, security, education, and institutional development. While direct recognition of Somaliland was not declared, the meeting and the upgrade of the diplomatic mission represent a significant step in Somaliland’s efforts to enhance its international presence and establish more formal relations with key regional players.

Conclusion: A Long Road Ahead for Recognition

President Irro’s May 2025 diplomatic tour highlights the ongoing complexities of Somaliland’s pursuit of international recognition. While the visits secured pragmatic cooperation, particularly in economic sectors, the underlying political challenge remains. Djibouti’s reserved reception, notably the absence of Somaliland’s flag, underscores the reluctance of some neighboring states to upset the delicate regional balance by fully endorsing Somaliland’s independence. Kenya’s more assertive engagement, despite objections from Somalia, indicates a growing willingness among some nations to engage with Somaliland based on practical interests.

For Somaliland, the path to full international recognition continues to be a gradual and multifaceted diplomatic endeavor, built on demonstrating its stability, democratic governance, and strategic importance in the Horn of Africa.

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AFRICOM Commander Admits Somalia Al-Shabaab Policy Failure in Final Briefing 2025

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Special Report | AFRICOM Commander General Michael Langley acknowledges al-Shabaab resurgence after decades of US investment as Trump cuts Somalia funding. Full analysis.

Key Points

  • Policy Reversal: General Langley admits Al-Shabaab is “entrenched, wealthy, and large” after previously claiming US operations were “weakening” the group
  • Strategic Defeat: Al-Shabaab overran major US-backed base at Adan Yabal, forcing elite Danab forces to flee and abandon millions in weapons
  • Funding Cuts: Trump administration ended $400/month salary supplements and logistical support following audits revealing “padded requisitions”
  • China’s Victory: Somalia banned Taiwanese passport holders while receiving US military support, effectively serving Beijing’s regional objectives
  • Electoral Charade: Hassan Sheikh promises impossible “one-person, one-vote” elections while two-thirds of country remains under militant control
  • Intelligence Failure: President cycles through spy chiefs amid accusations of Al-Shabaab infiltration at highest levels of security apparatus
  • Command Uncertainty: Trump administration considers merging AFRICOM with European Command as Langley announces successor nomination pending

General Michael Langley delivered what he called his “last, final Chiefs of Defense Conference as the AFRICOM commander” with a stunning admission: after three decades and tens of billions of dollars in US investment, al-Shabaab remains “entrenched, wealthy, and large” – a complete reversal from his previous assessments dismissing reports of the group’s resurgence.

The farewell briefing, delivered from Nairobi following the African Chiefs of Defense Conference, came as the Trump administration implements sweeping cuts to Somalia funding and considers merging AFRICOM with European Command. Langley announced that “a nomination for my successor is expected soon,” marking the end of an era that saw America’s most expensive counterterrorism failure in Africa.

The timing of Langley’s admissions couldn’t be more damaging to his legacy. Just days before the briefing, al-Shabaab forces overran the strategic town of Adan Yabal, forcing US-trained Somali National Army troops to flee their largest operational base and abandon millions of dollars in American-supplied weapons.

Al-Shabaab Resurgence: Langley’s Strategic Reversal

Langley’s current assessment stands in stark contrast to his statements just 11 months ago. In June 2024, when the Somaliland Chronicle pressed him about obvious signs of al-Shabaab’s resurgence and territorial gains, Langley expressed “measured optimism about the Somali government’s counterinsurgency efforts” and claimed “joint operations have been instrumental in weakening al-Shabaab’s grip on several regions.”

When confronted about Somalia’s divided focus between fighting terrorism and pursuing regional conflicts against democratic partners, Langley “carefully sidestepped a direct response” and deflected with diplomatic language about “comprehensive approaches.”

The reality was always obvious to regional observers. Al-Shabaab was regrouping, rearming, and preparing for major operations. The group’s February 2025 “Operation Ramadan” saw militants seize “more than 15 towns and villages” in a single day, while the March assassination attempt against Somalia’s president demonstrated their operational reach into the capital itself.

Now, facing the undeniable collapse of Somali security forces and his own imminent departure, Langley finally concedes what critics have long argued: the entire Somalia policy has failed spectacularly.

The Adan Yabal Catastrophe

The collapse that prompted US airstrikes on April 16 wasn’t just another tactical setback – it represented the complete failure of America’s Somalia strategy. Adan Yabal served as “a critical logistical hub” and “an operating base for raids on al-Shabaab,” strategically positioned 245 kilometers north of Mogadishu to project government power into militant-controlled territory.

The base housed not just regular army units but Somalia’s elite Danab special forces – the 2,500-strong unit that traditionally led the fight against al-Shabaab with US training, equipment, and until recently, direct salary support. When militants attacked before dawn, these supposedly elite forces simply fled, abandoning sophisticated weapons systems, vehicles, and communications equipment worth millions.

Al-Shabaab claimed to have “overrun 10 military installations during the fighting,” while government forces retreated so quickly that conflicting accounts emerged about who actually controlled the town. The psychological impact was immediate, with one resident reporting hearing explosions and gunfire as militants attacked “from two directions.”

Trump’s Reality Check

The Adan Yabal debacle coincided perfectly with the Trump administration’s decision to end the decades-long Somalia funding spigot. Since February, the US stopped paying stipends that boosted Danab members’ salaries to $400 per month – double what regular soldiers receive. Food support ended in April 2024, fuel support ceased in March 2025, following US audits that found Somali forces had “padded food and fuel requisitions.”

These cuts directly correlate with al-Shabaab’s recent gains. Insurgents have “taken back dozens of villages” and “regained the ability to operate in nearly a third of the territory they lost to federal forces in 2022.” The militants have mortared Mogadishu’s international airport and bombed the president’s motorcade, killing four people while demonstrating their capability to strike anywhere.

Yet despite this obvious correlation between reduced support and military failures, Langley’s briefing still suggested lingering faith in the fundamental Somalia model. His emphasis on “institution building across the Somali National Army” and addressing “root causes of instability” indicates AFRICOM leadership may not fully grasp that they’re advocating for continued investment in a demonstrably failed enterprise.

Somalia’s Strategic Pivot to China

While Somali forces collapsed under reduced US support, Hassan Sheikh Mohamoud’s government aligned itself completely with Chinese strategic objectives. In April 2025, Somalia implemented a comprehensive ban on Taiwanese passport holders, explicitly invoking the “One China” principle in a direct rebuke to democratic Taiwan.

This wasn’t diplomatic neutrality but active support for Beijing’s regional strategy. Somalia serves as China’s proxy in regional conflicts, with key government advisers like Hodan Osman serving as “the main conduit to China” while “heavy weaponry not normally present” floods into contested areas to support Chinese objectives against US partners.

The irony of the situation is stark: America conducted over 25 airstrikes in Somalia in 2025 to support a government that has publicly aligned with Beijing’s strategic objectives. Each precision strike that protects Somali government forces indirectly supports Chinese regional goals, creating an unusual dynamic where US military action serves competitors’ interests.

The Stabilization Industrial Complex

For three decades, Somalia has perfected what analysts describe as the stabilization industrial complex. The country has consumed tens of billions of dollars through various international missions and aid programs while producing what amounts to permanent instability.

Current estimates suggest two-thirds of Somalia remains under direct or indirect Al-Shabaab control, while in government-controlled Mogadishu, the federal government and Al-Shabaab operate parallel taxation systems that extract revenue from the same businesses. This isn’t state failure – it’s a business model that requires ongoing chaos to justify international intervention.

Langley’s warning that funding shortfalls could benefit Al-Shabaab highlights the dependency relationship. The system requires external funding to maintain the appearance of governance while multiple parties benefit from the arrangement.

The Propaganda Counterattack

A Washington Post article published shortly after Langley’s briefing highlighted concerns about Al-Shabaab’s resurgence following US funding cuts. The piece noted that “insurgents have taken back dozens of villages, including the strategic town of Adan Yabaal” and linked this to reduced American support for Somali forces.

Critics argue such reporting follows a predictable pattern: acknowledging military setbacks while suggesting more funding rather than examining why previous investment failed to create sustainable capabilities. The coverage serves various stakeholders who benefit from continued US engagement, including defense contractors, aid organizations, and Somali officials.

Hassan Sheikh’s Political Survival Strategy

As security failures mount and international support evaporates, President Hassan Sheikh Mohamoud appears to be throwing desperate political Hail Marys that underscore his government’s isolation and weakness.

In a pattern that suggests either panic or political calculation, Hassan Sheikh has embarked on two unrealistic initiatives that critics view as attempts to extend his hold on power. First, he has announced plans for “one-person, one-vote” direct elections scheduled for 2025-2026 – Somalia’s first such polls since 1967. The announcement, made at an April 2025 voter registration campaign in Mogadishu, promises local elections in June 2025 and parliamentary elections in September.

The electoral pledge faces immediate practical obstacles. Opposition leaders, including former presidents Sharif Sheikh Ahmed and Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed, have rejected the plan outright, calling it “unilateral” and warning they could organize a parallel vote. Two of Somalia’s federal member states – Puntland and Jubaland – have refused to participate, with Puntland declaring it no longer recognizes federal institutions.

More fundamentally, the promise of nationwide elections appears divorced from security realities. With Al-Shabaab controlling an estimated two-thirds of Somalia’s territory and conducting major operations within 50 kilometers of Mogadishu, the logistics of conducting credible elections across the country seem impossible.

Simultaneously, Hassan Sheikh has engaged in musical chairs with his intelligence leadership, repeatedly firing and rehiring spy chiefs in what appears to be a futile search for competent security management. In May 2022, he appointed Mahad Mohamed Salad as Director of the National Intelligence and Security Agency (NISA), replacing Fahad Yasin Haji Dahir, who had served under the previous administration.

However, the appointment quickly proved problematic. Former NISA chief Fahad Yasin launched a “blistering attack” on Salad, claiming he was “behind a series of assassinations and bombings in Mogadishu” and describing him as an Al-Shabaab operative who “facilitated their operations.” Yasin alleged that Hassan Sheikh had received warnings about Salad’s background but appointed him anyway.

By 2024, Hassan Sheikh had apparently soured on Salad, with reports indicating the intelligence chief “resigned from his position” after two years in the role. In what appears to be a return to previous arrangements, Hassan Sheikh has reportedly brought back Fahad Yasin to head NISA once again – the same official he had replaced Salad with originally.

The intelligence musical chairs reflects deeper problems with Somalia’s security apparatus. The NISA has been described as “a tool for silencing critics and independent media houses,” while being plagued by accusations of extrajudicial killings, including the high-profile murder of female intelligence officer Ikran Tahlil Farah in 2021.

These moves appear designed more for political survival than effective governance. The electoral promises provide a democratic veneer while the security reshuffles suggest desperate searches for loyalty rather than competence. Both initiatives face immediate obstacles that make success unlikely, suggesting they serve primarily as time-buying exercises for a president running out of options.

AFRICOM’s Uncertain Future

Langley’s farewell comes as the Trump administration considers merging AFRICOM with European Command to “cut bureaucracy.” The general acknowledged this uncertainty, telling reporters that “the United States is assessing the future of its military command for Africa” and calling on African governments to make their views known in Washington.

The potential merger would effectively end AFRICOM as an independent command – a fitting conclusion to an organization that presided over America’s most expensive strategic failure in Africa. Under Langley’s leadership since August 2022, AFRICOM doubled down on the failed Somalia model while losing Niger, seeing Chad expel US forces, and watching China expand its influence across the continent.

As the first Black four-star general in Marine Corps history, Langley’s tenure should have been a historic success. Instead, it concluded with admitting that Somalia’s security situation had deteriorated despite decades of American support, while China expanded its influence across the continent.

The Regional Alternative

While Somalia continues its expensive performance of statehood, genuine alternatives exist in the region. Somaliland has maintained democratic governance and effective counterterrorism capabilities for over three decades without international recognition or significant aid. The territory’s “proven track record in containing terrorist threats, particularly Al-Shabaab” demonstrates what functional governance looks like without the stabilization industrial complex.

Berbera’s strategic port offers “optimal forward operating base” capabilities with “strategic reach extending across multiple areas of operation” – from Al-Shabaab strongholds to Houthi maritime threats. Yet US policy continues supporting Somalia’s fiction while ignoring democratic realities that could actually advance American strategic interests.

Notably, Langley is reportedly planning to visit Somaliland in his final days as AFRICOM commander – perhaps finally acknowledging the democratic partner America should have been working with all along.

The Bottom Line: Horn of Africa Policy Crossroads

General Langley’s farewell briefing represents more than the end of his tenure – it marks the collapse of three decades of American counterterrorism investment in Somalia totaling tens of billions of dollars. His admission that al-Shabaab remains “entrenched, wealthy, and large” after decades of investment should prompt serious questions about every aspect of US Horn of Africa policy.

The Trump administration’s decision to reduce Somalia funding represents a shift from previous policy. Officials argue that continued engagement without measurable progress constitutes poor use of resources. The Somali government’s alignment with Chinese foreign policy objectives, including its ban on Taiwanese passport holders, has further complicated the relationship.

As Langley prepares for retirement and awaits his successor’s nomination, questions remain about the future of US engagement in Somalia. The contradiction between increased airstrikes and reduced institutional support reflects the challenge facing American policymakers: how to address immediate security threats while avoiding long-term dependency relationships that have proven ineffective.

The tragedy isn’t just the wasted resources or strategic humiliation. It’s that every dollar spent propping up Somalia’s elaborate fiction could have been invested in genuine regional partners who actually fight terrorism and support democratic values.

General Langley asked in 2022 why he was excited to lead AFRICOM into the future. Three years later, he leaves having proven exactly why America needs fewer commands chasing failed states and more partnerships with functional democracies.

The question isn’t whether al-Shabaab will exploit funding gaps – as Langley warns – but whether his successor will finally have the courage to admit what everyone except AFRICOM already knows: Somalia’s counterterrorism model is unsalvageable, and it’s time to back functional democracies instead of subsidizing failed states.


Related Coverage: AFRICOM’s Nuanced Response on Somalia’s Anti-Al-Shabaab Commitment | China’s First Proxy War in Africa

Despite Kenyan Foreign Ministry Opposition, Somaliland President Inaugurates New Mission and Meets Kenyan President Ruto

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The Republic of Somaliland inaugurated a new diplomatic mission office in Nairobi on May 29, 2025, proceeding despite sustained opposition from the Federal Government of Somalia. The development, a relocation and upgrade of Somaliland’s long-established diplomatic mission in Kenya’s capital, marks a significant diplomatic achievement and highlights evolving regional dynamics in East Africa.

The move has sparked an outsized reaction from Somalia, which has sought to portray it as a provocative challenge to its claimed sovereignty over Somaliland’s territory. Yet, despite Kenya’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs issuing statements reaffirming Somalia’s territorial integrity—clarifying that the mission “does not enjoy the imprimatur of the Republic of Kenya”—President William Ruto’s decision to meet Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi “Cirro” on the very same day underscored Kenya’s readiness to engage Hargeisa diplomatically.

Somalia’s Diplomatic Campaign

Somalia mounted a sustained lobbying effort to prevent the mission opening, including correspondence with Kenyan officials and public statements emphasizing territorial integrity. Despite these efforts, the presidential-level engagement proceeded, suggesting that Kenya’s executive branch prioritized practical considerations over bureaucratic protocol.

Somalia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued statements following the mission opening, reaffirming its position on territorial integrity and expressing disappointment with Kenya’s decision. However, the ministry did not announce concrete diplomatic consequences.

Mogadishu Mulls Recalling Ambassador in Protest

Reports suggest that the Federal Government of Somalia is considering recalling its Ambassador to Kenya in response to Kenyan President William Ruto’s meeting with Somaliland’s President, Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi “Cirro.” If confirmed, this move would signal a clear protest against what Somalia perceives as a breach of diplomatic protocol.

However, the potential recall raises questions about Somalia’s understanding of the evolving regional landscape and its diplomatic leverage in Nairobi.

Mogadishu’s efforts to block the inauguration of Somaliland’s diplomatic mission in Kenya have so far failed. Now, by contemplating the recall of its ambassador, Somalia appears to be opting for a symbolic response—one likely aimed at its domestic audience rather than a substantive diplomatic shift. The establishment of Somaliland’s diplomatic mission in Nairobi and President Ruto’s public engagement with Cirro underline Kenya’s willingness to pursue its own regional interests, regardless of Somali objections.

This diplomatic maneuver, if carried out, may be interpreted less as a show of strength and more as an acknowledgment of Somalia’s limited influence in shaping Kenya’s foreign policy.

Chinese President Xi Jinping and Kenyan President William Ruto attend a welcome ceremony at The Great Hall of The People on April 24, 2025 in Beijing, China

China’s Growing Influence and Its Role in East African Diplomacy

China’s expanding presence in East Africa is a critical factor influencing regional diplomatic moves. In recent years, China has significantly deepened its trade and diplomatic ties with Kenya, including major infrastructure investments and high-level state visits, solidifying Nairobi as a key partner in its Belt and Road Initiative. Concurrently, China has exerted sustained pressure on Somaliland, wary of any actions that could challenge the status quo or disrupt its regional ambitions. This dynamic creates a subtle yet powerful influence over Kenya’s handling of Somaliland’s diplomatic outreach. The inauguration of Somaliland’s mission in Nairobi occurs against this backdrop of shifting allegiances and competing interests, where China’s strategic footprint in Kenya may have shaped the timing and nature of Kenya’s engagement with Somaliland, reflecting broader geopolitical contestations playing out in the Horn of Africa.

Kenya’s Regional Engagement: A Sovereign Choice

Kenya’s decision to host Somaliland’s President and support the establishment of a diplomatic mission reflects its commitment to maintaining and expanding regional partnerships based on economic, security, and community interests. While Somalia has expressed concern over these developments, Kenya’s actions suggest a deliberate choice to pursue independent diplomatic relationships, even in the face of criticism from Mogadishu.

If Somalia proceeds with the withdrawal of its envoy, it is unlikely to have a significant impact on Kenya’s approach. Relations between Kenya and Somaliland are built on decades of trade, shared communities, and mutual interests that extend beyond the immediate diplomatic friction.

Ultimately, the proposed recall, while perhaps satisfying short-term domestic political needs in Somalia, would do little to alter the broader dynamics at play. Somaliland’s presence in Nairobi continues to expand, and Kenya appears intent on deepening its regional engagements regardless of Mogadishu’s protests.

Historical Context and Economic Foundations

Former President Bihi meeting with his Kenyan counterpart Uhuru Kenyata in March 2021

The diplomatic engagement builds on established precedent. Former Somaliland President Muse Bihi Abdi visited Kenya from December 13-14, 2020, meeting with then-President Uhuru Kenyatta. However, the ambitious agreements from that visit — including promised Kenya Airways direct flights to Hargeisa by March 2021 and a Kenyan consulate in Hargeisa — were never implemented.

The timing of those unfulfilled commitments was significant. President Bihi’s 2020 visit occurred during a severe diplomatic crisis between Kenya and Somalia, when Mogadishu severed diplomatic ties with Nairobi and blocked Kenyan imports. When Kenya-Somalia relations later normalized, the Somaliland commitments were quietly shelved.

This history makes the current mission opening more significant, as it represents concrete progress that has withstood both diplomatic pressure and bureaucratic obstacles.

Regional analyst Rashid Abdi noted the historical foundations of Kenya-Somaliland relations: “Kenya has a soft spot for Somaliland. Relations between Somaliland and Kenya date to pre-colonial times when intrepid Isaq traders ventured into the East African hinterland. The Isahakiah are among the first minority settlers in Nairobi, central and western Kenya.”

Domestic Political Dynamics

The mission’s opening vindicated President Cirro after facing domestic criticism when Kenya’s foreign ministry initially rejected the diplomatic initiative. Critics questioned whether the President — whose main credential was his diplomatic career — had miscalculated by appearing to walk into a diplomatic trap.

The barrage of rejection letters from Kenya’s foreign ministry provided ammunition for opposition voices questioning the administration’s situational awareness. However, the successful mission opening and presidential meeting demonstrated that the apparent contradiction between Kenya’s foreign ministry statements and presidential actions was the intended outcome.

The Recognition Request

During his speech at the mission inauguration, President Cirro revealed that he had hand-delivered an official letter to President Ruto formally requesting Kenya’s recognition of Somaliland as a sovereign state. This disclosure transforms the visit from a ceremonial mission opening into the delivery mechanism for Somaliland’s most direct diplomatic approach in decades.

Following the meeting, President Cirro issued a statement in Somali describing the substantive discussion

The personal delivery represents an evolution in Somaliland’s diplomatic approach, moving beyond informal engagements toward formal recognition requests delivered directly to decision-makers. The letter joins hundreds of similar requests the current government has dispatched globally, though its direct delivery to a head of state during a moment of diplomatic leverage distinguishes it from previous efforts.

Questions of Diplomatic Priorities and Venue Choices

President Cirro’s Kenya visit raises broader questions about Somaliland’s diplomatic strategy and priorities. The President recently completed a visit to Djibouti but notably has not prioritized engagement with Ethiopia – historically Somaliland’s most important regional ally.

This apparent deprioritization of Ethiopia may reflect tensions over Addis Ababa’s recent rapprochement with Somalia rather than following through on the Memorandum of Understanding it signed with former President Bihi’s administration. The MOU, signed on January 1, 2024, granted Ethiopia access to 20 kilometers of Somaliland coastline for 50 years in exchange for Ethiopia’s future recognition of Somaliland as a sovereign state. The diplomatic slight, if intentional, suggests a significant recalibration of Somaliland’s regional relationships under the new administration.

The Kenya focus also highlights a persistent pattern in Somaliland’s diplomatic approach: the preference for meeting international partners in third-country venues rather than hosting them in Hargeisa. According to the Minister of Presidency, President Cirro met with numerous international donors during his Kenya visit, including representatives from the World Bank.

While such meetings may offer practical advantages — neutral venue, easier logistics for international partners, reduced security concerns — they also suggest a diplomatic posture that accommodates rather than commands. The pattern contrasts with standard diplomatic practice where sovereign states typically host visiting delegations on their own territory, reinforcing territorial authority and symbolic sovereignty.

This approach raises questions about diplomatic confidence and protocol. Why conduct high-level donor meetings in Nairobi rather than summoning partners to Hargeisa? The choice may represent efficient use of presidential time, but it also raises questions about whether Somaliland’s leadership fully embraces the diplomatic prerogatives that come with its sovereign statehood.

Regional Implications

The successful mission opening suggests that practical considerations — economic partnerships, security cooperation, and established community ties — can influence high-level diplomatic decisions even when they conflict with traditional recognition frameworks.

According to official statements from both governments, the discussions focused on key areas including:

  • Strengthening bilateral trade and investment
  • Enhancing educational and institutional cooperation
  • Countering violent extremism and fostering regional security
  • Supporting peacebuilding efforts in the Horn of Africa
  • Expanding vocational training opportunities for youth

Former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs Tibor Nagy commented on the diplomatic dynamics: “Really dumb diplomatic move on Kenya’s part to block opening of Somaliland’s diplomatic mission in Nairobi. Why does Kenya have to bow to Mogadishu when Somaliland is the more successful nation? We’ll see how things develop this year!”

Nagy served as Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs from 2018-2021 and prioritized dramatically increasing trade and investment between the US and Africa. Nagy’s familiarity with the region may help guide nuanced U.S. engagement with Somaliland and its neighbors.

For Somalia, the development demonstrates the limitations of relying solely on sovereignty claims without offering compelling alternatives for regional cooperation. The events in Nairobi reveal the constraints of Mogadishu’s current regional diplomatic strategy.

For Somaliland, the mission provides a foundation for expanded diplomatic engagement across East Africa. The precedent established in Kenya may influence other regional capitals as they balance formal recognition policies against practical cooperation opportunities.

Shifting Diplomatic Paradigms

The mission opening represents more than bilateral engagement between Kenya and Somaliland. It signals evolving approaches to recognition politics in the Horn of Africa, where established diplomatic frameworks increasingly compete with practical governance considerations.

Kenya’s decision to proceed with high-level engagement, despite formal policy positions suggests that regional states may be developing more nuanced approaches to the Somaliland question. This pragmatic diplomacy prioritizes functional cooperation over rigid adherence to continental consensus on territorial integrity.

The development also highlights the growing influence of diaspora communities in shaping diplomatic relationships. The Isaq community’s economic integration in Kenya provided the foundation for political engagement that transcended formal recognition barriers. From 1900 onwards the largest concentration of Isaq was to be found in Nairobi, while Isiolo became their second most important center after 1927.

Whether Kenya’s approach influences other East African states remains to be seen. However, the mission opening demonstrates that Somaliland’s path toward recognition continues to advance through sustained engagement and practical demonstration of governance capacity.

The diplomatic mission now operates as a tangible achievement that has withstood diplomatic pressure, bureaucratic obstacles, and domestic criticism — providing a model for Somaliland’s broader recognition strategy.

As President of Somaliland Lands in Djibouti, Can the Hostile Neighbor Change Its Spots?

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Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdillahi “Cirro” arrived in Djibouti today, opening a chapter that many in the Republic of Somaliland hope signals a thaw in relations—though few expect one. His visit comes in the shadow of a sustained campaign of political sabotage and economic subversion orchestrated by Djibouti, following the landmark Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU, which rattled power centers from Mogadishu to Addis Ababa.

While billed as a diplomatic overture, this visit is under a cloud of public suspicion, with popular sentiment in the Republic of Somaliland hardened against a neighbor many increasingly view as an existential adversary rather than a regional ally.

Djibouti’s Hostility Has Been Deliberate, Not Diplomatic

Djibouti’s antagonism toward the Republic of Somaliland is not a matter of diplomatic disagreement but calculated strategy. In June 2024, Djibouti shuttered Somaliland’s diplomatic mission after fabricating a utility payment dispute as pretext. Somaliland Chronicle previously reported the mission was “billed an exceptionally high amount for water and electricity, totaling tens of thousands of dollars” before services were abruptly disconnected – transparent diplomatic harassment thinly disguised as an administrative matter.

Djibouti President hosts leader of SSC Khatumo

In perhaps his most provocative move, President Guelleh recently hosted SSC Khatumo leader Mr. Firdhiye in Djibouti, a calculated signal of disapproval toward Somaliland’s strategic initiatives. This deliberate engagement with separatist elements from Somaliland’s eastern regions represented a direct violation of diplomatic norms and a challenge to the Republic of Somaliland’s territorial integrity – the very principle Djibouti claims to defend regarding Somalia.

“Djibouti has positioned itself as an active adversary, not merely a neutral neighbor,” noted a senior political analyst in the Republic of Somaliland. “From shuttering our diplomatic mission to hosting separatist leaders and working to undermine the Ethiopia MoU, Djibouti’s hostility has been comprehensive and deliberate. This trip must be seen in the full context of sustained aggression.”

Somaliland Public Sentiment: Mistrust Has Become Policy

Inside the Republic of Somaliland, this visit is deeply unpopular. Social media monitoring shows overwhelming disapproval, with particular anger focused on Guelleh’s reception of SSC Khatumo representatives. Many citizens view Djibouti as having betrayed regional solidarity to protect its economic monopolies.

“Djibouti is not just a competitor. It’s an active saboteur,” said a prominent business leader in Berbera. “They’ve lobbied investors to steer clear of our port and sought to maintain their monopoly at our expense.”

Business leaders have been particularly vocal about Djibouti’s economic warfare tactics, including reports of Djiboutian officials pressuring logistics firms to avoid Berbera and making backchanneled threats to regional investors. This economic sabotage has cemented perception of Djibouti as a hostile competitor rather than a potential partner.

Djibouti: Beijing’s Proxy in the Horn of Africa

Beyond the immediate bilateral tensions lies a deeper, more fundamental incompatibility – Djibouti’s increasingly entrenched role as China’s strategic foothold in the Horn of Africa. What was once a sovereign nation has, according to multiple regional security analysts, effectively transformed into “a wholly-owned subsidiary of the People’s Republic of China.”

President Ismail Omar Guelleh of Djibouti with Xi Jinping of PRC in FOCAC gathering

China’s military base in Djibouti – its first overseas installation – represents merely the visible component of Beijing’s control. Multiple sources with direct knowledge of Djibouti’s financial operations indicate that China now effectively controls the country’s economic decision-making through a web of strategic debt arrangements.

“When Djiboutian officials meet with their Somaliland counterparts, they’re not representing Djiboutian interests – they’re implementing Chinese foreign policy,” explained a former Western diplomat with extensive regional experience. “Beijing views Somaliland’s growing ties with Taiwan and the United States as a direct challenge to its regional hegemony.”

Somaliland’s diplomatic recognition of Taiwan in 2020 positioned it in direct opposition to China’s regional ambitions. The formal establishment of Taiwan-Somaliland ties triggered furious diplomatic protests from Beijing, which subsequently intensified its support for Somalia’s territorial claims and pressured Djibouti to adopt an increasingly hostile stance toward Somaliland.

“China sees Somaliland-Taiwan relations as a dangerous precedent that must be crushed,” noted a security analyst specializing in Chinese foreign policy. “Djibouti’s sudden hostility toward Somaliland coincides precisely with Beijing’s escalating campaign against Taiwan’s diplomatic partners.”

Financial records reveal China holds over 70% of Djibouti’s external debt, giving Beijing unprecedented leverage over the country’s policy decisions. This financial control manifests in Djibouti’s increasingly aggressive posture toward Somaliland, particularly following the Taiwan recognition and discussions about potential U.S. military presence in Berbera.

Somalia’s Diplomatic Siege Is Collapsing

While Djibouti’s behavior draws scrutiny, Cirro’s visit is nonetheless a blow to Somalia’s faltering campaign to diplomatically isolate the Republic of Somaliland. Sources within Somalia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs confirm to Somaliland Chronicle that Mogadishu has been aggressively lobbying regional neighbors to sever ties with Somaliland.

“We were told explicitly that Mogadishu demanded Djibouti refuse any presidential-level meetings,” confirmed a Somali diplomat under condition of anonymity. “Today’s visit represents a significant failure of this strategy.”

This diplomatic offensive has taken increasingly desperate forms. Just last week, Somalia banned entry of Taiwanese passport holders, citing “national sovereignty concerns” – a transparent attempt to punish the Republic of Somaliland for its growing relationship with Taiwan. As Somalia doubles down on isolation tactics, Somaliland has managed to breach the blockade, turning diplomatic endurance into quiet success.

A Clash of Ports: Berbera vs. Djibouti

At the heart of Somaliland-Djibouti tensions lies a stark economic reality: Berbera Port is rising, and Djibouti’s monopoly is fading.

World Bank data starkly illustrates this competitive dynamic: Berbera Port ranks 82nd globally in performance while Djibouti languishes at position 382 out of 385 ports worldwide. The $442 million DP World investment in Berbera threatens to redirect Ethiopian trade away from Djibouti’s ports, which currently handle approximately 95% of Ethiopia’s maritime commerce.

A World Bank “Djibouti Country Economic Memorandum” explicitly warned that Djibouti’s economic model – dependent on a single sector (ports) and single client (Ethiopia) – has become fundamentally “unsustainable,” with Berbera Port identified as the primary competitive threat.

“These aren’t conditions for partnership,” remarked an international trade analyst. “Djibouti sees every shipment that enters Berbera as a strategic loss.”

Cirro’s Priorities Questioned: Why Not Addis First?

Curiously, President Cirro chose Djibouti as his first regional destination rather than Addis Ababa—despite the historic MoU with Ethiopia signed earlier this year. That deal promised Ethiopia naval access via Somaliland, and in exchange, informal diplomatic recognition—though Ethiopia has recently shown signs of retreat under pressure from Mogadishu and Ankara.

“The Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU is the crown jewel of Somaliland diplomacy,” said a former envoy to Addis. “Why would Cirro start his tour in the capital of the country that has worked hardest to destroy that agreement?”

Multiple sources inside Ethiopia’s Foreign Ministry told Somaliland Chronicle there has been no scheduled visit by Cirro to Addis, despite growing concern that Ethiopia may be quietly backpedaling under Somali-Turkish pressure.

Strategic Real Estate: The Battle Over U.S. Military Presence

Adding another layer of complexity is the Republic of Somaliland’s open courtship of American military presence in Berbera – directly challenging another lucrative Djiboutian monopoly on foreign military bases. While Djibouti hosts installations for the United States, China, France, Italy, Japan and Saudi Arabia, collecting billions in lease revenue, Somaliland has positioned Berbera as an alternative strategic location.

US Africa Command has conducted multiple high-profile visits to Berbera, with flight tracking data showing U.S. military transport planes making numerous trips between Djibouti and Berbera in recent months. These movements strongly suggest serious American consideration of establishing a presence that would directly compete with Djibouti’s AFRICOM base.

“Their entire rental economy depends on monopoly,” said a regional defense expert. “A U.S. base in Berbera would collapse the market value of Djibouti’s foreign presence overnight.”

Breaking the Blockade: Cirro’s Second Destination Looms

In a further challenge to Somalia’s isolation strategy, Somaliland Chronicle has learned President Cirro is set to undertake another significant foreign visit immediately following his Djibouti trip. Multiple sources in the Republic of Somaliland confirm the President will travel to another regional neighbor later this week, though the exact destination remains closely guarded for security reasons.

“Somalia has been frantically lobbying this country as well to refuse President Cirro’s visit,” revealed a senior official from Somaliland’s Foreign Ministry. “Their diplomatic corps has been throwing everything at the wall, but it’s not sticking.”

Diplomatic sources indicate Somalia dispatched a high-level delegation to this unnamed country last week specifically to undermine Cirro’s planned visit, offering unspecified concessions in exchange for rebuffing Somaliland’s president. This upcoming visit, if successful, will mark Somalia’s second consecutive diplomatic defeat in a single week, further eroding Mogadishu’s influence in the region.

Can Djibouti Be Trusted?

As President Cirro walks Djibouti’s red carpets today, fundamental questions persist about whether a genuine reset is possible with a neighbor that has systematically worked to undermine the Republic of Somaliland’s core interests. Symbolism alone won’t move the needle in the Republic of Somaliland.

To reset relations, Djibouti must reopen Somaliland’s consulate, end support for separatists, and cease obstructing economic and military cooperation—especially concerning Berbera Port and the potential U.S. presence. Otherwise, this visit risks becoming little more than a photo op in hostile territory.

“Cirro must return with more than diplomatic smiles,” said a veteran Somaliland statesman. “He must bring results. Otherwise, Djibouti’s leopard has not changed its spots—it’s simply hiding them better.”

U.S. CITIZENS IN SOMALIA’S GOVERNMENT — LEGAL AND SECURITY IMPLICATIONS

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KEY FINDINGS

  • Multiple American citizens are serving in Somalia’s federal government, including its foreign affairs leadership.
  • These individuals retain active U.S. business interests or property holdings and have not publicly renounced their citizenship.
  • No public records indicate compliance with the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA) or loss of nationality protocols.
  • U.S. law prohibits undisclosed foreign government service by American citizens.
  • Somalia’s policies—particularly its alignment with the People’s Republic of China against Taiwan—may conflict with the TAIPEI Act of 2019.
  • Comparable cases have led to indictments and convictions in the U.S. under FARA and immigration statutes.

Somalia has long appointed individuals with U.S. ties to influential government roles—particularly within its Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Foreign Minister Abdisalam Abdi Ali and State Minister for Foreign Affairs Ali Mohamed Omar (Ali Balcad) represent prominent examples of this practice.

This Chronicle investigation examines the legal and security implications of American citizens serving in a foreign government increasingly aligned with China and hostile to U.S. strategic partners in the region. These dual nationals maintain business interests and property in the United States while implementing policies that may conflict with U.S. laws and interests.

From potential violations of foreign agent registration requirements to questions about asylum fraud, these cases raise significant legal questions that may soon attract federal scrutiny.

AMERICANS IN MOGADISHU: THE FOREIGN POLICY BEACHHEAD

Foreign Minister Abdisalam Abdi Ali and State Minister for Foreign Affairs Ali Mohamed Omar (Ali Balcad) represent the new face of Somalia’s government: American citizens who have risen to the pinnacle of power in a country whose policies increasingly diverge from U.S. interests.

Notable U.S. citizens in Somalia’s government include:

  1. Abdisalam Abdi Ali (Foreign Minister) – Confirmed by Somalia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs as a sitting minister; previously built a healthcare business in Ohio (Ritechoice Healthcare Services, LLC).
  2. Ali Mohamed Omar (Ali Balcad) (State Minister, Foreign Affairs) – Former IBM engineer with an MBA from California State University, Fresno; maintains property in North Carolina and has not renounced U.S. citizenship.
  3. Fardowsa Osman Egal Dhore (Minister of Transport) – Served in public roles in both Somalia and the U.S. for over 15 years.
  4. Sacdiya Yasin Haji Samatar (Deputy Speaker, Parliament) – Former healthcare administrator in Minnesota; elected Deputy Speaker in 2022.
  5. Abdilahi Bidhaan Warsame (Minister, Water and Energy) – Leads implementation of national energy and water strategies; prior U.S. ties unconfirmed by official sources but referenced in Somali media.

Somali-American Member of Parliament Ahmed Mohamed Warsame (aka Jama Solob Kayre) lost his U.S. citizenship in 2018 after admitting to immigration fraud related to the Diversity Visa Lottery program, according to documents from the U.S. Department of Justice.

Another case involves Malik Abdalla, a Somali MP and registered foreign agent for Hormuud Telecom. According to FARA records, Abdalla failed to disclose his broader governmental affiliations, raising compliance questions. He previously headed White Star Business Group and may have sought U.S. asylum while occupying Somali government posts.


FROM IBM TO MOGADISHU: ALI BALCAD’S TRANSFORMATION

Mr. Ali Mohamed Omar (Ali Balcad), currently Somalia’s State Minister for Foreign Affairs, brings a tech-industry background to diplomacy. He worked at IBM for nearly 20 years and holds an MBA from California State University, Fresno.

Mr. Ali Mohamed Omar (Ali Balcad), Somalia's State Minister for Foreign Affairs

In January 2024, Balcad described the Ethiopia-Somaliland port agreement as a bigger threat to Somalia than Al-Shabaab.

Balcad retains a residence in North Carolina and has not registered under the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA), despite his policy-making role. He has not confirmed any renunciation of U.S. citizenship.

When contacted for comment, Balcad stated: “My work serves Somalia’s legitimate interests as recognized by the international community. Any suggestion that this conflicts with my American citizenship is misinformed.”


DUAL CITIZENSHIP ACROSS THE HORN

Somaliland, like Somalia, appoints dual citizens to key diplomatic positions. Current Foreign Minister Abdirahman Bakaal previously resided in Minnesota and holds U.S. citizenship. His predecessor, Essa Kayd, had a medical career in Massachusetts.

The key distinction lies in foreign policy alignment. Somaliland has welcomed strategic ties with Taiwan and the United States, whereas Somalia has moved to isolate Taiwan in line with China’s demands.


SOMALIA, CHINA, AND THE TAIWAN QUESTION

Somalia has aligned its foreign policy with Beijing, taking increasingly adversarial positions against Taiwan. In April 2025, Somalia’s Civil Aviation Authority banned travelers using Taiwanese passports, citing support for the “One China” principle. The directive prohibits Taiwanese citizens from entering, transiting, or departing through Somalia.

This policy directly contradicts U.S. law. The 2019 TAIPEI Act (Public Law No: 116-135) mandates that the U.S. reevaluate engagement with nations that undermine Taiwan’s diplomatic standing—exposing American officials implementing these policies to potential legal scrutiny.

Meanwhile, Somaliland continues outreach to the U.S. government and has offered port access at Berbera for U.S. military or strategic use—moves that align with U.S. interests in the Horn of Africa.


LEGAL EXPOSURE: WHEN DUAL LOYALTY BECOMES A LIABILITY

For Somalia’s American officials, several legal frameworks create significant exposure:

  • Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA) requires U.S. citizens to register if they engage in political or quasi-political activities on behalf of foreign governments.
  • Loss of Nationality statutes (8 U.S.C. § 1481(a)(4)) allow revocation of U.S. citizenship if an individual accepts a policy-level role in a foreign government with intent to relinquish citizenship.
  • 18 U.S.C. § 219 prohibits U.S. citizens from serving in foreign governments without approval from the Secretary of State or Attorney General.
  • International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) enables sanctions against individuals whose activities threaten U.S. interests.
  • Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) can be used against U.S. citizens acting as foreign officials if they engage in corrupt dealings that involve U.S. financial institutions.

THE TOLEDO TRAIL: ABDISALAM’S HEALTHCARE EMPIRE

Before joining Somalia’s cabinet, Foreign Minister Abdisalam Abdi Ali built a healthcare business in Ohio. He founded Ritechoice Healthcare Services, LLC in 2009 and served as CEO of MedExpress Transportation, a Medicaid-funded non-emergency transport provider, from 2015 to 2019.

Abdisalam Abdi Ali, Somalia's Minister of Foreign Affairs with China's Ambassador to Somalia Wang Yu

These companies operate in highly regulated sectors. Federal oversight requires full disclosure of foreign affiliations—especially for Medicaid-funded entities.

Despite holding a top position in Somalia’s government, Ali has not filed a FARA disclosure. He also continues to list himself as active in Ritechoice Healthcare on public directories.

His spokesperson told the Chronicle: “All business activities have been conducted with full transparency and in compliance with relevant regulations.” However, the statement did not specify whether Ali had divested or recused himself from his U.S. holdings.


PAY-TO-PLAY POLITICS: THE COST OF POWER IN SOMALIA

Somalia’s unique parliamentary system has long been criticized for its lack of transparency and susceptibility to corruption. Elections are not conducted via direct suffrage but through a clan-based system where a few hundred traditional elders and delegates select members of parliament. This unconventional model, intended as a transitional mechanism, has instead become fertile ground for influence-buying and political profiteering.

Selection, not Election. Halane Tent where Somalia's Selections were held.

Transparency International consistently ranks Somalia at the bottom of its Corruption Perceptions Index—placing it 180th out of 180 countries in its 2023 assessment. This pervasive corruption extends deeply into the electoral system, where vote-buying has become normalized.

A New York Times investigation documented how “votes were being bought for up to $30,000 apiece” in Somalia’s parliamentary elections. The article describes the process as “less of an election and more of an auction,” noting that “several sources with knowledge of the process… confirmed that parliamentary seats were essentially being sold.”

The Congressional Research Service, in its briefing to U.S. lawmakers, acknowledges the “allegations of corruption and manipulation” that have plagued Somalia’s electoral processes. Meanwhile, the Lansing Institute reported that Somalia’s electoral system remains “susceptible to vote buying, manipulation, and intimidation,” noting that the indirect voting system “enables corruption, with votes bought with millions of dollars.”

This pattern has significant implications for U.S. citizens serving in Somalia’s government. If American nationals participated in vote-buying to gain political office, they may be in violation of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA)—a U.S. law that prohibits bribing foreign officials or facilitating bribery schemes, even abroad. While direct proof is difficult to establish, the systemic nature of corruption in Somalia’s electoral system means entry into politics itself may inherently involve corrupt practices.

The U.S. Department of Justice has previously interpreted the FCPA broadly, applying it to individuals who use foreign payments to secure positions of power that result in personal or business gain, particularly where U.S.-linked assets or institutions are involved. If Somali-American politicians leveraged U.S. businesses, bank accounts, or real estate assets to fund these alleged bribes, they could face scrutiny under federal anti-corruption statutes.

Though no Somali-American officials have been charged with such violations to date, the legal risk adds another layer of potential exposure for U.S. citizens participating in Somalia’s political system.


ENFORCEMENT PRECEDENTS AND SIGNS OF CHANGE

The Department of Justice has recently demonstrated a renewed commitment to enforcing laws governing American citizens who serve foreign governments. This shift signals potential vulnerability for Somalia’s U.S.-citizen officials.

In a high-profile 2024 case, Pierre Girgis, a U.S.-Egyptian dual national, pleaded guilty to violating the Foreign Agents Registration Act by failing to properly label documents he transmitted on behalf of the Egyptian government. The case marked an unusually aggressive FARA enforcement action against a dual citizen.

Earlier, in 2018, Tom Woewiyu, who had served as Liberia’s Minister of Defense, was convicted of immigration fraud for concealing his role in Liberia’s government on his U.S. citizenship application. The court sentenced him to 30 months in federal prison, establishing clear precedent for prosecuting government officials who misrepresent their foreign service.

Most recently, in January 2025, federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York indicted three American citizens serving in Cameroon’s government for failing to register under FARA while lobbying U.S. officials. The indictments specifically noted that dual citizenship does not exempt individuals from FARA’s requirements.

“The Justice Department evaluates each case on its specific merits,” explains Rebecca Roiphe, former federal prosecutor. “But certain patterns consistently trigger enforcement—particularly actions that undermine U.S. foreign policy or security interests in coordination with strategic competitors.”

These cases illustrate a clear pattern: American citizens cannot serve foreign governments without proper transparency and compliance, particularly when those services potentially conflict with U.S. strategic interests. For Somalia’s American officials, the combination of unregistered foreign service, continued U.S. business interests, and implementation of policies contrary to American legislation creates significant legal exposure.

The Somaliland Chronicle contacted both the U.S. Department of State and State Minister for Foreign Affairs Ali Mohamed Omar regarding the legal implications of U.S. citizens serving in Somalia’s government. Neither responded to multiple requests for comment on this story.


THE LEGAL RECKONING THAT AWAITS

The American public deserves transparency when U.S. citizens or business owners participate in foreign governments advancing policies that may undermine U.S. foreign policy. Somalia’s diplomatic alignment with the People’s Republic of China—guided in part by American citizens—raises questions of dual loyalty with significant legal implications.

Foreign Minister Abdisalam Abdi Ali’s case is instructive. Ohio business records show he founded and served as statutory agent for healthcare firms receiving Medicaid funds in Toledo. While implementing Somalia’s foreign policy, he continues to hold financial interests in U.S. entities tied to federal healthcare dollars—an intersection fraught with legal risk under multiple statutes.

State Minister Ali Balcad’s decades-long career at IBM in North Carolina also underscores the dilemma. His technical expertise, honed at a leading U.S. firm, now informs Somalia’s diplomatic posture in ways that may conflict with American regional strategy and the TAIPEI Act of 2019.

Federal agencies—including the Department of Justice, State Department, and Treasury—have tools to address these scenarios, from FARA enforcement to sanctions and citizenship reviews. Precedents suggest these mechanisms are no longer dormant.

As U.S. policymakers scrutinize Somalia’s deepening relationship with Beijing, American citizens embedded in Mogadishu’s government may soon face a stark choice: comply with U.S. law—or confront the legal machinery designed to prevent precisely this kind of conflict.


NOTE: All individuals are presumed innocent unless proven otherwise. This report is based on publicly available records and verified sources. Attempts to contact involved officials for comment were made where feasible.