Home Blog

National Election Commission Announced Nine-Month Delay of Presidential Elections

0

In their first press statement since sworn in, the new National Election Commission has announced that the constitutionally mandated presidential elections scheduled for November 13th will be delayed. The Commission stated that elections will be held in nine months starting on October 1st, and cited time, technical and financial constraints as the reason for the delaying.

The selections, confirmation by parliament, and swearing-in of the new National Election Commissioners have dragged on for months and were completed on September 7th, 2022. The previous Election Commission, led by Mr. Abdirashid Riyoraac, dissolved following a dispute among the commissioners and an accusation of corruption that prompted an investigation by the Auditor General’s Office. 

The opposition has accused President Bihi of orchestrating the disbandment of the election commission to ensure elections are not held on time. President Bihi has countered the opposition’s accusation that the delay was caused by opposition members of parliament who failed to confirm replacement commissioners

The opposition parties of Waddani and UCID have welcomed the statement from the Election Commission, although they have in the past opposed presidential term extension and staged protests where at least six civilians were killed and scores injured. It is unclear if the argument of which election, presidential or national political parties, comes first is settled between the President and the leaders of the opposition parties.

President Bihi has argued that the new parties currently amid registration are the only ones eligible to take part in Presidential Elections, whereas the opposition parties have argued that the President is trying to eliminate the current opposition parties and that the presidential elections come first.

Earlier this week, Members of Parliament approved a motion to amend the election laws Number 91/2022 and Number 14. The amendment ratified the combination of presidential and political party elections where the presidential elections will be participated by Waddani, UCID, and the ruling party of Kulmiye and the other parallel election will decide which of the new or existing parties will qualify as a national political party. Somaliland law stipulates that only three political parties can exist for a term of ten years. It is unclear if the Senate and President will approve the proposed amendment to codify it into law.

The National Election Commission’s statement that it cannot hold the presidential elections on November 13th, 2022 paves the way for the Somaliland Senate, which has the constitutional power to extend the presidential term to start deliberation and approve term extension for President Muse Bihi Abdi. In the past, the Senate has ignored the extension period recommended by the Election Commission and has given past Presidents two-year term extensions. This will be the sixth time presidential elections are delayed in Somaliland.

Despite the normalization of election delays and pitched political disputes in election season, Somaliland has earned high praises for its ability to hold one-person, one-vote elections and peaceful transfers of power. It is unclear if the latest delays in presidential elections and continued political jostling will effect in its quest for international recognition.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

Dishonest Broker – Why Turkey Will Not Run Somaliland – Somalia Talks

5

On December 28, 2018, Turkey named its former Ambassador to Somalia Dr. Olgan Bekar as a Special Envoy for Somalia and Somaliland Talks. Thought the former Ambassador to Somalia has had limited contact with the Government of Somaliland especially President Bihi’s current administration, he known to be very comfortable in navigating the political scene in Mogadishu.

In this report, we are examining Turkey’s history in Somaliland and Somalia and their role as mediators in the past talks.

Dr. Olgan Bekar, Turkey’s Special Envoy for Somaliland – Somalia with President Muse Bihi Abdi

Turkey is not the only country interested to have Somaliland and Somalia get back to the negotiating table and reach some sort of a settlement.

The topic has come up during President Muse Bihi Abdi’s meeting with the Ethiopian Prime Minister in Addis Ababa this week though it is unclear the extent to which they discussed the subject or if any concrete steps to get the two sides talking were agreed upon.

Somaliland and Ethiopian leaders meeting in Addis Ababa

It is important to understand that various stake holders have different expected outcomes of such talks and Somaliland might be the odd man out as it seeks to gain an amicable completion of its divorce from Somalia.

According to statement from Somaliland Presidency following President Bihi’s meeting with the new envoy Dr. Bekar on February 9, The President informed Dr. Bekar and the Turkish delegation that since past talks has not yielded any results all future dialogue between Somaliland and Somalia must include the international community.

Sources from Somaliland’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation present in the meeting with the President and the Turkish delegation stated that President Bihi also informed the Turkish envoy that bringing a level of balance in how Turkey invests in Somalia and Somaliland is a good way to show Somaliland that Turkey is impartial and a friend to Somaliland.

To understand if Turkey can be an impartial and an honest broker on Somaliland and Somalia talks and its general standing in the world community, we have spoken to Mr. Michael Rubin who is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, where he researches Arab politics, the Gulf Cooperation Council, Iran, Iraq, the Kurds, terrorism, and Turkey.

President Bihi with Michael Rubin and Presidential Economic Advisor Dr. Osman Sh Ahmed

Somaliland Chronicle: Do you think it is wise for Somaliland to accept Turkey as a mediator in Somalia talks given the Turkish Gov support and massive investment in Somalia?

Mr. Rubin: Turkey does not have a track-record as an honest broker, and President Erdoğan has an ideological agenda which does not value Somaliland’s democracy and security. It is crucial to broaden any such mediation beyond a single country.

Somaliland Chronicle: In your latest article you wrote about Turkish support for terrorism and specifically for Al-Shabaab. What is Turkey’s reasoning for supporting Al-Shabaab?

Mr. Rubin: There is no single international definition of terrorism, and so Turkey often says it is combating terrorism, but denies groups like Al-Shabaab in Somalia or Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb in Mali are terrorists. Erdoğan’s goal is a more Islamist order. His fault, though, is confusing some Islamist movements with Islam itself.

Somaliland Chronicle: President Bihi recently met with a Turkish Envoy in charge of the Somaliland/Somalia talks, do you see any value in having Turkey to mediate or be part of those talks?

Mr. Rubin: Certainly, there is value in consultation with Turkey, as Turkey retains a diplomatic presence in both Somalia and Somaliland. President Bihi is correct, however, to seek a broader mediation rather than reliance on a single country.

As President Bihi informed the Turkish delegation, there is an imbalance in how Turkey provides and and invests in Somaliland and Somalia. Let’s break down what Turkey so far done in is to Somalia:


Turkey in Somalia

Security Influence

Turkey is Somalia’s true patron state, one of its most expensive efforts is to rebuild the Somali National Army from scratch and in its own image.

The largest military force in Somalia is of course AMISOM but Turkey’s military presence dwarfs that of any individual country in the AMISOM troops stationed in Somalia. In fact, Turkey’s largest military installation outside of Turkey is in Mogadishu.

Dr. Olgan Bekar with Somalia’s Prime Minister Hassan Khaire.

The 1.5 square mile Turkish military training installation is capable of churning out 1,500 fully trained and equipped soldiers at a time. This is according to Turkish and Somali sources familiar with the facility.

Below is a tweet from Turkish Embassy in Somalia showing images of Somali military personnel being trained in Turkey.

While Turkey rates as the 18th largest military in expenditure globally, it has a fledgling arms industry and rebuilding the Somali National Army represents a lucrative opportunity to supply it with the equipment it is manufacturing.

According to a recent VOA report, in what seems to be a clear violation of the United Nations Security Council’s weapons embargo on Somalia, Turkey has been supplying armament to units of the Somali National Army it has been training.

Economic Influence

Since September 21, 2014 Albayrak Group has been operating the Mogadishu Port on a 20 year concession where the company takes 45% of all revenues from the port.

Public records show that Albayrak Group does not have a track record in managing world class ports, besides Mogadishu Port, it also manages and the Trabzon Port in the Black Sea on Turkey’s Northern border with Georgia.

Compared to Albayrak Group and the 2 ports it manages, DP World manages about 77 marine and inland terminals including Somaliland’s Berbera Port.

Other Turkish conglomerates such Enez-İnşaat and Kozuva Group are also active in Mogadishu.

Mogadishu’s Aden Abdulle Airport has been managed by a Kozuva subsidiery, Favori Airports LLC,since September 2013.

Mogadishu’s Aden Abdulle Airport

Here is the Somali Prime Minister Mr. Hassan Khaire thanking Qatar for funding road networks between Mogadishu, Afgoye and Jawhar and also thanking the Turkish Government, presumably Enez-İnşaat who according to him have “won” the contract to build said roads.

Turkey bills itself as Somalia’s rescuer and multiple visits by Erdoğan to Somalia especially in what is considered a relatively difficult time for the Somali people were designed to convey that exact message but economically, Turkey stands to gain more from Somalia and Mogadishu than it lets on.

Image result for erdogan visits mogadishu
Erdoğan and his wife in Mogadishu.

According to some estimates, the most profitable route in Turkish Airlines is the Mogadishu – Ankara route. And aside from the large visible projects, there are tens of thousands of Turkish citizens living and working in Mogadishu.

Despite the obvious economic gains Turkey is making in Somalia, it is gearing up to do even more business in that war-torn country.

Getting involved in one of the least stable country in the world, Turkey is employing the concept of first mover advantage. This means less competition from the Chinese and other actors vying for influence in Africa.

Turkey heavy bet on Somalia and specifically Mogadishu is yielding economic results for Turkey beyond what Erdoğan has expected. In fact, Turkey’s largest embassy in the world is not where you would expect, like Washington DC, Brussels or Berlin, it is in Mogadishu, Somalia.

One of the most attractive features of Turkey’s patronage of Somalia is it is non-interference posture in Somalia’s domestic politics. It is worth nothing that Somalia ranked lowest in global corruption index and any country that is willing to look the other way is a welcome reprieve from the usual admonishment for President Farmajo’s weak administration.

Turkey in Somaliland

The most visible contribution of Turkey to Somaliland is a recent 216 medical machines donated by TIKA, the Turkish aid agency to Hargeisa Group Hospital.

Although this particular instance has been widely publicized by TIKA, Somaliland Chronicle has been unable to locate anything of note done in Somaliland either by Turkish Government or it is aid agency TIKA.

There are, however, multiple unfulfilled pledges by the Turkish Government in the past to help build roads in Somaliland according to multiple former and current Somaliland Government officials. None of these pledges have materialized.

One thing of note is that Turkey has been particularly adept in dangling a carrot of aid and development or simply inviting them to Istanbul on a whirlwind of meetings and tours to get them to buy into the importance of Somaliland and Somalia talks.

No other country has put so much effort to try to mediate Somaliland and Somalia as much as Turkey. In fact, this might be the only thing Turkey has done in Somaliland. There were many rounds of talks that hosted by the Turks in the past and personally supervised by President Erdoğan himself, unfortunately, these talks have been a disaster for Somaliland.

Turkey’s obsession with Somaliland is rooted in the simple fact that the rift between Gulf states of UAE and Saudi Arabia on one side and Qatar, Turkey and Iran on one side has been playing out in Somaliland and Somalia.

Image result for somaliland dpworld signing
President of Somaliland HE Muse Bihi Abdi and DP World CEO Mr. Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem

The United Arab Emirates base in Berbera and DP World managing the Port gives the UAE and its ally Saudi Arabia an advantage and a foothold in the strategic 850 kilometers of Red Sea coastline with a direct access to Bab Al-mandab.

Turkey and Qatar has been spending heavily in trying to unseat the Emirates from both the military base and the Berbera Port by mobilizing the Somali government to oppose these deals. Additionally, Turkey has been advancing particular talking points that have been seeping into public discourse in Somaliland such as the importance of Somaliland – Somalia talks, the ramifications of hosting a foreign army in Somaliland via the UAE base and the deterioration of service at the Berbera Port. These same exact talking points are parroted by many civil organizations and opposition parties in Somaliland.

Somaliland has repeatedly signaled it’s willingness to talk to Somalia but its demand for the international community including the United States, United Kingdom and the European Union to get involved and President Bihi’s impossible task for the Turks to raise their level of support for Somaliland to something comparable to Somalia’s almost guarantees that Turkey’s role will be a lot smaller in future dialogue between the two countries.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

A Press Conference Before a Plane Ticket: What President Abdirahman Cirro Owes Somaliland

0

Mohamed Hussein Jama (Raambo), MP

For more than three decades, our people have built peace, democratic institutions, competitive elections, and peaceful transfers of power in one of the world’s most volatile regions. These achievements reflect the unwavering commitment and determination of Somalilanders to build a democratic nation.

We have every reason to be proud of that record. Somaliland’s democratic culture remains rare in the Horn of Africa, stands out in East Africa and compares favourably with many countries across the continent. It is not only a source of national pride; it is one of our greatest diplomatic assets and one of our strongest arguments for international recognition.

As a Somaliland Member of Parliament, I want President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi’s visit to the United States to succeed, and I have every reason to support it. International recognition is a shared national objective, pursued by all Somaliland political parties, and it must remain above partisan political differences.

I want Washington to understand why a stable and democratic Somaliland can be a valuable American partner in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea. But the democratic values we proudly present abroad must also be protected at home.

Nearly two years into his presidency, President Abdullahi has yet to hold a genuinely open press conference at which independent journalists can question him about his government and, more importantly, where he intends to take the country.

According to the Somaliland Journalists Association (SOLJA), 46 journalists have been arrested during the first 22 months of this administration, an average of more than two journalists every month.

And now, as the President departs for the United States, prominent poet Ismail Jiheeye remains in detention after publicly raising allegations concerning a dispute over his property. A journalist who interviewed him has also been detained. Both are being held without charges.

Whatever the merits of the underlying land dispute, criticism of a President, a poem or a journalist’s interview should be answered through open debate and due process, not detention. A democratically elected president should not use the power of the state against a critic or anyone with whom he is involved in a private dispute. Public office must never be used to settle personal disputes or silence criticism.

This is precisely the contradiction Somaliland must confront.

How can we ask the democratic world to value our credentials while journalists, writers and critics are detained at home?

There is another issue the President cannot leave behind when he boards the plane for Washington: growing public concern about corruption and unexplained wealth among some government officials. Somalilanders have even coined a phrase for it: “G+1”, a sarcastic reference to houses and buildings allegedly constructed by officials after taking office.

Public suspicion is not proof of guilt. But widespread allegations deserve answers, independent investigation and transparency. Where credible allegations exist, investigate them. Where officials are innocent, clear their names. Where wrongdoing is established, hold those responsible accountable.

There is also the matter of the President’s frequent, unexplained trips abroad, often last for weeks. Taxpayers fund these journeys and are entitled to know their purpose on why such extended stays are necessary, and what public benefit they deliver. The president therefore has an obligation to explain his extended visits to the United Arab Emirates and elsewhere.

We must remember that this is a poor country with one of the highest maternal mortality rates in the world. Public money should be spent where it matters most, not toward luxury hotels in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Nairobi.

Mr President, you have now travelled to the United States without explaining how long the trip will last, how much it will cost taxpayers, or what it is intended to achieve. The public has a right to know.

Mr. President, there is a simple step you can take.

Hold a real press conference. Invite Somaliland’s independent journalists. Do not pre-select their questions. You are, thus far, the only president in Somaliland’s history who has never held a press conference. This is not a distinction you want on your record. You were elected by the public and you are accountable to them.

Let journalists ask about the economy. Let them ask you about corruption and G+1. Let them ask about the 46 journalists your administration arrested. Let them ask about Ismail Jiheeye. Let them ask about your appointments, your foreign policy, your travels and where you intend to take this country.

And answer them with your hand on your heart.

Some questions will be uncomfortable. That is not a threat to democracy. That is democracy.

Then go to Washington and make Somaliland’s case strongly.

Tell US policymakers that Somaliland believes in freedom of expression after demonstrating it at home. Tell them we believe in accountability after submitting your own administration to scrutiny. Tell them Somaliland’s democracy is not merely an argument we deploy in foreign capitals, but a principle we practise within our own borders.

Those of us who raise these concerns do so not because we want Washington to think less of Somaliland, but because we want Somaliland’s democratic story to remain credible by the time it reaches Washington.

Mr. President, go to Washington and make Somaliland’s case. But before you tell Washington about our democracy, demonstrate it at home.

About the Author

Mohamed Hussein Jama (Raambo) is the Chairperson of the Foreign Affairs Committee, Somaliland House of Representatives, and Member of Parliament for the great region of Maroodijeeh (Hargeisa).

Creative Commons License

Disclaimer: The viewpoints expressed by the authors do not necessarily reflect the opinions or perspectives of Somaliland Chronicle and its staff.

Notice: This article by Somaliland Chronicle is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work are permitted, provided proper attribution is given.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

Shifting Geopolitics and Somaliland’s Move from Recognition Plea to Strategic Bargain: Opportunities for President Cirro’s U.S. Visit.

0

President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Cirro’s visit to the United States comes at an unusually consequential moment for Somaliland. The Horn of Africa and Red Sea are becoming more contested, Somaliland’s diplomatic isolation has been partly broken by Israel’s recognition, and sections of Washington are increasingly considering Somaliland through the lens of American strategic interests.

According to the Somaliland Presidency, the visit seeks to strengthen diplomatic relations, security and economic cooperation, attract investment and advance Somaliland’s recognition campaign. More revealing, however, is the language of “strategic cooperation based on mutual interests.”

That phrase captures an important evolution in Somaliland’s diplomacy. For decades, its message was essentially: we have earned recognition through history, stability and democratic self-government. Those arguments remain fundamental, but Cirro increasingly appears to be adding a more pragmatic proposition: engaging and ultimately recognising Somaliland can also advance American strategic interests.

A Changing Horn Creates a Different Opportunity

What was already important geography has increasingly become contested geography. Somaliland’s diplomatic opportunity cannot be separated from the transformation of the Horn of Africa and Red Sea into one of the world’s more competitive strategic spaces.

The region sits astride the Gulf of Aden and Bab al-Mandab, linking the Indian Ocean to the Red Sea and Suez Canal. China operates its first overseas military base in Djibouti alongside a major U.S. military presence; Türkiye has deep political and security ties with Somalia; Egypt has expanded its regional engagement; Ethiopia continues to seek reliable access to the sea; and Gulf states have invested heavily in ports and logistics.

Meanwhile, instability stretching from Yemen and the Houthis to the wider confrontation involving Iran has pushed maritime security higher on U.S. and allied agendas. In this environment, Berbera is no longer simply Somaliland’s principal commercial port but an asset of wider strategic relevance.

DP World has committed up to $442 million to developing Berbera Port and associated infrastructure, including the Berbera Economic Zone. Positioned close to a critical maritime corridor and connected toward Ethiopia and the wider Horn, Berbera gives Somaliland something increasingly valuable in diplomacy: strategic location backed by usable infrastructure.

Yet Somaliland’s proposition rests on more than geography. Since 1991, it has maintained its own government, security institutions, currency, administrative system and electoral processes. The peaceful 2024 transfer of power from President Muse Bihi to opposition candidate Cirro further strengthened its claim to be a relatively stable and predictable political actor in a turbulent region.

Cirro’s opportunity is therefore to convert this combination of contested geography, strategic infrastructure and accumulated political stability into diplomatic leverage.

Somaliland’s Strategic Positioning

Somaliland’s external relationships increasingly reinforce this proposition. The UAE has become its most important commercial partner through DP World and Berbera. With Taiwan, Somaliland has maintained relations despite sustained pressure from Beijing and expanded cooperation into development, technology and maritime security.

Then came Israel. Its recognition of Somaliland on 26 December 2025 fundamentally changed the diplomatic environment. For the first time since 1991, Somaliland had formal recognition from a UN member state and from one of Washington’s closest allies.

These partnerships differ in purpose, but together they allow Somaliland to present itself as a political actor willing to cooperate with states closely connected to Western and American strategic interests.

Cirro therefore arrives in Washington not merely as the leader of an unrecognised territory asking America to revisit history, but representing an entity that controls strategically important infrastructure, hosts substantial Emirati investment, maintains relations with Taiwan and now enjoys formal recognition from Israel.

This is where the idea of a strategic bargain becomes relevant. Somaliland’s historical case remains unchanged: its independence in June 1960, subsequent union with Somalia, collapse of that union, restoration of sovereignty in 1991 and more than three decades of self-government. But history alone has not delivered recognition. The emerging Cirro approach therefore asks a more practical question: what can Somaliland offer the countries whose recognition it seeks?

For Washington, the answer includes Berbera, proximity to Bab al-Mandab, maritime security, counterterrorism cooperation, political stability, commercial opportunities and relationships with the UAE, Taiwan and Israel. Recognition is consequently being reframed from an acknowledgement of Somaliland’s past into part of a possible future strategic partnership. This does not mean exchanging Berbera or sovereignty for recognition. Rather, Somaliland is increasingly presenting recognition and partnership as mutually beneficial.

Washington Is Already Reconsidering Somaliland

Cirro is not introducing this argument into a vacuum. In June 2025, Congressman Scott Perry and colleagues introduced H.R.3992, the Republic of Somaliland Independence Act, proposing formal U.S. recognition. The bill remains legislation rather than policy, but its importance lies in recognition becoming a concrete congressional option.

Senator Ted Cruz subsequently urged President Trump to recognise Somaliland, explicitly framing the case around U.S. national-security interests, including the Gulf of Aden, counterterrorism, Taiwan and Somaliland’s relations with Israel. In July 2026, Cruz also pressed Secretary of State Marco Rubio for a Somaliland-specific travel advisory rather than treating Somaliland and Somalia as having identical security conditions.

The military signal may be even more significant. In November 2025, AFRICOM Commander General Dagvin Anderson met President Cirro and Somaliland security officials before visiting Berbera Port to assess its security environment and operational capacity.

These developments do not mean Washington has decided on recognition. Formal U.S. policy still supports Somalia’s territorial integrity. But they do suggest that Somaliland is increasingly being considered as a distinct policy and strategic question, rather than solely through the prism of Somalia.

Israel could amplify this shift. Its interests in Red Sea security, Yemen and Iran overlap with American concerns, and its recognition has broken a major diplomatic barrier. There is no need to overstate this as a formal Israeli lobbying campaign. The stronger point is simpler: Cirro arrives in Washington with a major U.S. ally having already recognised Somaliland, that changes the context of the discussion.

What Would Success Look Like?

Formal U.S. recognition would be the historic maximum outcome. But making it the only measure of Cirro’s visit would be a mistake. There is a ladder of meaningful outcomes below recognition: senior White House or State Department engagement, stronger congressional support, a Somaliland-specific travel advisory, discussion of a U.S. representative presence in Hargeisa, expanded security cooperation, maritime arrangements involving Berbera, greater American investment and improved financial access.

The most realistic immediate pathway may therefore be de facto bi-lateralisation before de jure recognition. The more Congress, the military, diplomats and businesses engage directly with Hargeisa, the harder it becomes to treat Somaliland merely as a subsidiary issue within Somalia policy. Cirro’s objective should therefore extend beyond securing another sympathetic statement. It should be to institutionalise Somaliland within Washington’s strategic thinking about the Horn and Red Sea.

The Limits of the Strategic Opening

Somaliland should nevertheless avoid premature triumphalism. Somalia will strongly resist any American move toward recognition. Mogadishu retains important security relations with Washington and can draw on Türkiye, Egypt, Arab and Islamic states, and others committed to Somalia’s territorial claims.

The African Union remains cautious, China will oppose greater international legitimacy for a Somaliland closely associated with Taiwan, and Somaliland’s eastern territorial disputes will be used by opponents questioning the extent of Hargeisa’s effective authority. Israel’s recognition is also double-edged: it creates unprecedented diplomatic momentum while potentially intensifying opposition from governments hostile to Israeli policy.

Somaliland is also competing for attention in a Washington consumed by much larger priorities: Iran and Middle Eastern security, Russia’s war against Ukraine, competition with China and the approaching U.S. midterm elections. This may be Cirro’s most immediate external challenge. Somaliland does not merely need to show that its case is legitimate; it must demonstrate that it is relevant to problems Washington already considers important.

There is also an important constraint closer to home: Somaliland’s own institutional and absorptive capacity. Diplomatic openings are only as valuable as a government’s ability to convert them into sustained relationships, agreements and tangible outcomes, which requires competent personnel, clear strategy, strong coordination across government, effective follow-up and continuity beyond presidential visits. If President Cirro does not continue improving the quality and capacity of his government and build institutions capable of sustaining these diplomatic gains the potential of even a favourable geopolitical opening could quickly be limited. Recognition diplomacy, therefore, cannot depend on presidential engagement alone; it must be backed by a capable state apparatus able to carry the strategy forward and deliver on the partnerships Somaliland is seeking.

Changing the Recognition Narrative

For more than three decades, Somaliland has asked the international community to recognise the political reality it built after 1991. Cirro now has an opportunity to demonstrate that this reality also carries strategic value. Somaliland offers relative stability beside a critical maritime corridor, Berbera as a commercial and potentially security-relevant asset, established partnerships with the UAE and Taiwan, recognition by Israel and an expressed willingness to deepen cooperation with the United States.

Its message is therefore evolving from “We deserve recognition” toward “A strategically partnered and ultimately recognised Somaliland can advance shared interests in one of the world’s most contested regions.”

Whether Washington accepts that proposition remains uncertain. But Cirro does not necessarily need to return with recognition for the visit to matter. But if the visit helps a shift Washington’s debate from “Why should we recognise Somaliland?” to “What strategic opportunities are we losing by not engaging Somaliland more directly?”, then Somaliland’s recognition campaign will have entered a different and potentially far more productive phase, and the visit may have achieved something more consequential than a ceremonial diplomatic breakthrough

About the Author

Roble Muse is an independent political and economic analyst, development strategist and policy researcher specialising in economic policy, development and governance in Somaliland and the wider Horn of Africa. He is currently pursuing doctoral research on pastoral economies and climate change, with a particular focus on Somaliland.

Creative Commons License

Disclaimer: The viewpoints expressed by the authors do not necessarily reflect the opinions or perspectives of Somaliland Chronicle and its staff.

Notice: This article by Somaliland Chronicle is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work are permitted, provided proper attribution is given.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

Somaliland’s Delegation is Sending the Wrong Message to Washington

0

By Michael Rubin

Before the beginning of the U.S. and Israel war with Iran in December 2025, former Iranian Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi was in a strong position. He was popular in both Washington and, more importantly, among Iranians themselves. As regime change appeared imminent, Reza Pahlavi’s anointment once again as heir apparent seemed a sure thing. At the very least, his position atop the aspirants shaping the future of Iran was his alone to lose.

And, yet, through his own mismanagement, inability to be decisive, and unwillingness to take on his own advisors, many of whom acted without skill and nuance, Pahlavi ended up killing his own ambitions. Appearances matter, and Pahlavi convinced not only his detractors but many of his friends that he was not ready for prime time.

Unfortunately, President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi“Irro” appears to follow the same trajectory as he prepares for his first visit to Washington as president.

Somaliland has made great strides toward recognition of its independence over the past decade. Credit is broad and across the partisan spectrum in Somaliland.

What Mogadishu and Somalia’s various lobbyists never understood is that Somaliland’s growing prestige in Washington has nothing to do with money or contracts, but rather its own reality. No amount of lobbyist money can change the fact that Somalia is corrupt, pro-China, and increasingly a vassal of Turkey. Al-Shabaab controls Mogadishu’s functioning more than the federal government. Neither President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, cabinet minister or foreign diplomats can walk three blocks from Villa Somalia and survive without massive security. Somaliland, meanwhile, is democratic, secure, and pro-Western.

Somaliland also has international law and precedent on its side. If the United Arab Republic, Senegambia, and Czechoslovakia can dissolve unpopular federations, why should Somaliland and Somalia not go their separate ways, all the more so since there was no formal ratification of their federation. What hampers the international community today is not law or precedent, but rather ignorance and Turkish, Qatari, Saudi, and Chinese money.

Irro’s personality also works in his favor. He is affable and engaging. In one-on-one meetings in Washington, he should do well.

All this, however, may soon be lost should the Somaliland delegation project a reputation of incompetence and amateurishness.

Success in Washington requires small delegations and a laser focus. Beyond the president, the Somaliland delegation should consist of one or two intelligence professionals, the foreign minister, and one or two defense specialists. To have more than a dozen—almost 20 officials by some accounts—in the delegation suggests a level of amateurishness that will soil Somaliland’s image among the serious policymakers it needs to win over. Part of Somaliland’s case is its efficiency with a limit budget; a 19-man delegation projects an image of South Sudan, not success.

Nor is image the only problem. No senior meeting will occur with more than Irro and one or two other Somaliland officials in the room, which raises the question of why such a large delegation is necessary.

A large delegation is bad enough, but disorganization within it will be worse. Washington seeks serious negotiations over mutual concerns, first and foremost of which is regional insecurity. Somaliland can make its case that it offers a symbiotic solution. For ministers and officials from every portfolio to come suggests a lack of focus and risks a repeat of earlier Somaliland mistakes in which Somaliland officials sought funding prematurely for ad hoc projects that never should have been a priority.

Governance must be about advancing Somaliland’s case, not about winning slots on a government-financed junket. Irro has a choice. He can either advance Somaliland’s case in Washington, or he can assuage clan and political allies in the short term. He should choose wisely. State leadership will require telling clan and political allies no. He must tell close friends and aides to stay home and do their jobs inside Somaliland.

Somaliland needs to trim its delegation to five people. If Somaliland succeeds in upgrading U.S. representation in Hargeisa or Somaliland’s office in Washington, DC, then other cabinet officials can come in future visits.

About the Author

Michael Rubin is director of policy analysis at the Middle East Forum and a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.

A former Pentagon official, Dr. Rubin has lived in post-revolution Iran, Yemen, and both pre- and postwar Iraq. He also spent time with the Taliban before 9/11. For more than a decade, he taught classes at sea about the Horn of Africa and Middle East conflicts, culture, and terrorism, to deployed US Navy and Marine units.

Dr. Rubin is the author, coauthor, and coeditor of several books exploring diplomacy, Iranian history, Arab culture, Kurdish studies, and Shi’ite politics, including “Seven Pillars: What Really Causes Instability in the Middle East?” (AEI Press, 2019); “Kurdistan Rising” (AEI Press, 2016); “Dancing with the Devil: The Perils of Engaging Rogue Regimes” (Encounter Books, 2014); and “Eternal Iran: Continuity and Chaos” (Palgrave, 2005).

Dr. Rubin has a PhD and an MA in history from Yale University, where he also obtained a BS in biology.

Creative Commons License

Disclaimer: The viewpoints expressed by the authors do not necessarily reflect the opinions or perspectives of Somaliland Chronicle and its staff.

Notice: This article by Somaliland Chronicle is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work are permitted, provided proper attribution is given.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

Somaliland Fights the World for Recognition. A Somali Passport Pipeline in Hargeisa Undercuts It

0

KEY POINTS

  • Somali passports are being issued to Somaliland citizens through a Hargeisa pipeline linked to Somalia’s federal system in Mogadishu.
  • Applicants pay $300 to $400, well above Somalia’s official $180 fee.
  • The pipeline has run through three Somaliland administrations, from Silanyo to Bihi to Irro.
  • Named political figures on both sides have facilitated the operation; none has confirmed it.
  • Somaliland’s own identity agency may be helping verify applicants, officials won’t say.
  • Officials call it medical necessity, but sources say most demand is religious pilgrimage.
  • Somaliland rejected Somalia’s e-visa as a sovereignty violation, yet tolerates this.
  • No evidence the government runs it directly, but every administration has let it continue.

For thirty-five years, the Republic of Somaliland has told the world that Somalia has no authority over its citizens. Every day in Hargeisa, in an unmarked office with no sign on the door, that claim is quietly overridden. A citizen’s photograph, fingerprints, and personal details go electronically into Somalia’s federal passport system in Mogadishu. Within days, a Somali passport, stamped with the government’s own coat of arms, flies back to Hargeisa to document the holder as a Somali national, the very status Somaliland says Somalia has no authority to impose.

The price is $300, or $400 expedited. Somalia’s own government lists the ordinary passport fee at $180. Of what’s left, roughly $30 goes to a Hargeisa travel agent as a referral commission, confirmed independently by multiple agents and by sources with direct knowledge. Subtract both from the $300 and roughly $90 remains, an estimate built from the two confirmed numbers rather than a third figure anyone has verified, leaving that amount unexplained. This has continued across at least three changes of government in Hargeisa and at least one in Mogadishu.

Somaliland’s own passport, by comparison, is accepted in roughly a dozen countries: Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, South Africa, the UAE, Taiwan, and, since December 2025, Israel. Somalia’s passport ranks near the very bottom of the 2026 Henley Passport Index, good for visa-free or visa-on-arrival entry to roughly thirty countries worldwide, one of the weakest travel documents on earth. Neither government’s passport is strong. What changes hands in that unmarked office is not strength. It is a UN seat Somalia has never earned on the ground, and one that thirty-five years of functioning Somaliland statehood still hasn’t bought.

That star on the passport’s cover is not neutral in Hargeisa. It marks the tail of the MiG-17 mounted atop this city’s war memorial in Freedom Square, the same Somali Air Force jet that took off from Hargeisa’s own airport to bomb it, crashed during the campaign, and was later dragged back into the center of town as a monument. Between 1987 and 1989, the regime of Siad Barre killed an estimated 200,000 members of the Isaaq clan. Roughly 90 percent of Hargeisa was destroyed; more than 40,000 died within the city limits alone. A 2001 United Nations investigation concluded that the crime of genocide was conceived, planned, and perpetrated by the Somali government against the Isaaq people. Somaliland’s 1991 declaration of independence followed directly from that campaign.

A pattern, not a workaround

One senior Somaliland official, who would not be quoted, did not deny the program exists when asked about it directly. He called it “a necessary disease we must live with,” then asked where else people should go, Mogadishu or Garowe, and spent most of the rest of the conversation trying to talk this publication out of writing about it.

That exchange is the story in miniature. If the government doesn’t run the pipeline, how has it survived three administrations without interruption? If it’s purely private, how does a facilitator get a standing door into a foreign country’s passport system? Asked directly, officials rarely deny it exists. What they offer instead is a decision not to look, and an arrangement this consistent doesn’t survive on ignorance. It survives on choice.

This account rests on multiple sources with direct knowledge, several of whom were directly involved in running the operation at different points, and others among them high-ranking appointees in the current government and officials who served under former presidents Silanyo and Bihi. None would speak on the record.

There is no freedom-of-information law in Somaliland, no functioning mechanism to compel a ministry to release a file, and no real record of officials being held accountable for withholding one. Where a similar investigation elsewhere might rest on a leaked memo or an obtained contract, this one rests on multiple people, independently, describing the same thing from the inside, because official documentation of something like this was never going to be available for the asking.

That caution is easier to read as politics than practicality. In September 2021, Somaliland police intercepted a man at Egal International Airport carrying about 200 shield-tailed agamas, lizards worth up to $500 apiece, bound for Egypt, the first reptile-smuggling case they had handled. The episode illustrates how visible contraband can trigger enforcement at the same airport where, according to sources familiar with the operation, shipments of Somali passports have passed without comparable intervention.

The machinery

The mechanism does not run on improvisation. According to multiple sources with direct, first-hand experience running it, biometric and biographical data goes in electronically, straight into Somalia’s own federal passport and immigration system. Book an appointment. Data goes in. Within days, a finished passport flies back to Hargeisa on a commercial route.

A hidden scanner in a back room describes a small operation a handful of people could run alone, on the margins. What’s described here is a working door into a sovereign government’s identity infrastructure, used routinely to produce that government’s own documents for people it does not administer. That process requires authorized access to Somalia’s federal passport infrastructure. This publication has not independently identified the individual or institution providing that access.

The payment follows its own trail. Caalin Travel Agency, one of several Hargeisa agents identified in this investigation, confirmed the application fee is paid to the agent, not to whoever ultimately processes the passport, in exchange for a receipt and directions to the office that does. One applicant this investigation reached went through the process at a separate agency, Airsoma Travel, paying the standard $300 fee, and provided a redacted copy of the intake form: full name, mother’s name, place of birth, date of birth, occupation, contact number, stamped and signed. One field isn’t left blank. Place of birth is pre-printed, in bold, bigger than everything else on the page: HARGEISA. What came back said something else.

There is a newer requirement, and by multiple accounts a recent one: applicants must now present their Somaliland national identity card, which is photocopied and kept on file. That alone would be unremarkable. According to multiple applicants, if the details an applicant provides differ at all from what’s on their Somaliland ID, the facilitator office in Hargeisa, not Mogadishu, contacts Somaliland’s own national identity agency directly, the body that issued the card in the first place, seeking approval for the discrepancy. Without it, the application proceeds using whatever the Somaliland ID says. That agency sits inside the Ministry of Interior, whose minister was separately asked, in writing and by phone, whether this contact occurs and who authorized it; he has not answered. Somaliland Chronicle has not identified or reached a contact inside the identity agency itself. If accurate, it means an institution Somaliland built to establish its own citizens’ identities is functioning as a verification backstop for the operation that feeds them into the passport system of the government it was built to be separate from.

It wasn’t always this clean. These sources trace the operation back to former president Ahmed Mohamed Silanyo’s administration, describing applicants shuttled car to car through Hargeisa’s streets, biometrics taken inside a Toyota Noah minivan with the engine running. During the presidency of Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed “Farmaajo,” the passport’s place-of-issue field stopped reading “Hargeisa” and started reading “Mogadishu,” the result, these sources say, of a direct negotiation by Osman Sh. Mohamed Sh. Isaaq, known as Osman Marehan, then personally close to Farmaajo. Somaliland officials, these sources say, made their cooperation conditional on exactly that change. There is no paper trail for the negotiation itself, but this publication has independently confirmed the outcome: passports issued to Somaliland citizens today list Mogadishu, not Hargeisa, as place of issue. Asked about his alleged role, Marehan declined to comment.

The people behind the machine

Under former president Muse Bihi Abdi, sources with direct knowledge name Hamda Egal as the facilitator: years inside Somali federal political circles, a run at a seat in the Somali parliament. Egal declined to comment.

Under the current administration, the same sources name Khadar Hussein Harir, whose footprint inside Somalia’s federal political system is a matter of public record. In August 2021, he was elected, then re-elected after infighting, chairperson of the Somaliland Interim Election Team, seated under then-Deputy Prime Minister Mahdi Guled. Harir declined to comment.

Neither Egal nor Harir holds any formal position inside the Federal Government of Somalia. Neither is described by any source as its employee. Both moved through Somali federal political life with an ease an ordinary Somaliland citizen does not have, and Osman Marehan, the earlier handler identified above, fits the same pattern. What connects all three, across three administrations, is not a title or a salary. Each was someone who could operate credibly on both sides of the border at once: Egal’s years inside Somali federal circles and her own run for Somali parliament, Harir’s documented chairmanship of a body seated by a sitting Somali Deputy Prime Minister, Marehan’s personal closeness to a sitting Somali president. That dual standing appears to be the qualification the operation required.

Who actually decides?

One former facilitator with direct knowledge, drawing on first-hand experience running the operation, disputes the obvious assumption that handovers track Somaliland’s own elections. Somaliland’s government does not choose the facilitator, this source says. It only permits the arrangement to continue. The real decisions, who controls the Somaliland side and when the handoff happens, are made in Mogadishu. This is not one person’s theory; every source in a position to address the question gave the same account.

The same source describes Harir as “a mere employee” and alleges that Khadar Hussein Looge, Somaliland’s Minister of the Presidency, was directly involved in negotiating the transition from the previous team to the current one. Multiple independent sources have separately pointed to Looge in connection with that handover. This publication cannot rule out that a source who no longer runs the program has reason to direct scrutiny toward whoever replaced them; the allegation has not been independently proven. The Presidency redirected inquiries to the Ministry of Interior. Looge did not respond.

Whoever controls it, one fact does not move: a foreign government’s passport is being issued to citizens of a state that insists that government has no jurisdiction over them, and it has continued for years without incident, comment, or apparent concern from anyone with the power to stop it.

The route it replaced

Before Hargeisa had the quiet, institutional pipeline it has now, Garowe was where most of this business happened. Citizens traveled east into Puntland and got Somali passports directly from Puntland’s own authorities. It wasn’t a backup. Back when the Hargeisa side still meant a Toyota Noah minivan with the engine running, Garowe was the primary channel.

What moved the business to Hargeisa, according to multiple sources, including current and former officials and people who ran the program directly, wasn’t convenience. It was a story, told to three successive presidents, about young women: sending citizens to Garowe or Mogadishu put them at risk of exploitation they wouldn’t face if the same service quietly existed at home. This investigation hasn’t verified that comparison. What it did do is give three governments, who agreed on almost nothing else, the same reason not to look too hard at an operation growing inside their own capital.

The same line still gets used, on anyone who asks. Sources describe it as the default answer: some version of do you want our girls raped in Garowe or Mogadishu? Not an answer so much as a way of ending the question, and it reliably shuts down everything else, who runs it, who profits, why it has lasted this long.

Garowe’s dominance didn’t survive Las Anod on its own terms either. Somaliland and Puntland forces had clashed for years over Sool and Sanaag, but it was Las Anod, escalating in early 2023, that severed the land route outright. By then Garowe was already losing ground to a story that worked. After Las Anod, it lost the rest. Hargeisa wasn’t built as Garowe’s fallback. It earned its tolerance first, on an appeal no president wanted to be the one to reject, and became the only route left once the alternative was gone.

The necessity explanation, and what it may be concealing

Every official interviewed reached for the same defense: the Somaliland passport isn’t widely accepted, leaving citizens no real choice. None engaged with what that framing sidesteps, that the fix for a document the world won’t accept is a document from the government Somaliland says has no claim over it. Every official led with medical travel, not Hajj or Umrah, even though this program’s own handlers describe pilgrimage, not medicine, as the primary use case. Not one official pointed to anything the government has done to change the underlying problem.

Sources with direct knowledge told Somaliland Chronicle that most applicants were not medical cases. They were pilgrims. Multiple sources have corroborated that, though it hasn’t been tested against independent data from travel agents or Hajj operators yet. If it holds, medical necessity is the most sympathetic justification available, and it may not be the one actually driving demand.

Even the Saudi picture is more specific than a flat reading suggests, and less favorable to Somaliland. In 2019, Saudi Arabia’s King personally invited then-President Muse Bihi Abdi to perform Hajj as a state guest; Bihi and his ministers traveled on their own Somaliland diplomatic passports, accepted for that single occasion. It was a head-of-state exception, not an ongoing relationship. This investigation found no indication Saudi Arabia has ever otherwise accepted the Somaliland passport. The Hajj quota itself runs through Somalia, not Somaliland: Riyadh allocates a national quota to the Somali government, and a portion is informally set aside for Somaliland pilgrims through private channels. By every account, those pilgrims travel on Somali passports to use it, which is exactly why Hajj and Umrah demand feeds directly into this same pipeline rather than sitting apart from it. Saudi Arabia has also explicitly rejected Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland since. None of that establishes how Somaliland’s own passport fares at a Saudi border, since almost no one tests it that way.

Israel changes the equation

For most of three decades, Somaliland had a clean argument: no diplomatic alternative existed. On December 26, 2025, Israel became the first UN member state to formally recognize Somaliland. The two governments have exchanged ambassadors and named health cooperation a stated priority.

This publication asked Somaliland’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs what, if anything, has been done to turn that recognition into a real medical-travel arrangement. The Ministry did not respond. The Presidency redirected the same question to the Ministry of Interior. Beyond the general statement naming health cooperation a priority, this publication found no public record of a specific bilateral health or medical-travel agreement between the two governments. Silence doesn’t prove nothing happened behind closed doors.

Israel already has a track record here. An Israeli medical charity, Save a Child’s Heart, has for two decades brought Somaliland children to Wolfson Medical Center for cardiac surgery, a channel that predates recognition entirely. Israel has named health cooperation a stated priority of its new relationship with Somaliland. Officials have not answered the obvious question that raises: if that channel already exists, why hasn’t it visibly reduced reliance on Somali passports for medical travel to Turkey or India? The accountability question stands exactly where it started.

The sovereignty contradiction

The United States does not recognize Somaliland. It also sends military delegations to Hargeisa on what Somaliland officials describe as a near-monthly basis, has reportedly spent the past year negotiating basing rights at Berbera, and has told Congress Somaliland’s security cooperation is worth taking seriously. Former president Muse Bihi Abdi traveled to the US on his own Somaliland passport; this week, President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi “Irro” was granted a US visa on the same document for a September inaugural visit. Washington calls this pragmatism: engagement without paperwork, tolerance without recognition. Somaliland has demanded exactly that treatment from the world for thirty-five years. It has never extended the same pragmatism back toward Mogadishu, not on the e-visa, not anywhere else it has a choice, with one quiet exception: the Somali passport pipeline running inside its own capital, which this investigation has spent itself describing.

In September 2025, Somalia rolled out a mandatory e-visa for every traveler entering the country. Somaliland refused it outright. President “Irro” delivered the declaration in person, at Somaliland’s Aviation Ministry headquarters next to Egal International Airport, flanked by cabinet ministers including Khadar Hussein Looge, the Minister of the Presidency multiple sources in this investigation allege was directly involved in the handover of the passport pipeline to its current operators, an allegation this publication has not confirmed. No one holding Somalia’s e-visa, Irro said, would be allowed to land on Somaliland soil. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs called it a direct violation of sovereignty. It’s the same airport passport shipments from Mogadishu have arrived through for years, according to sources with direct knowledge. Nobody at the podium mentioned it.

The same airport, according to sources familiar with the operation, has continued to receive the passports on a schedule this investigation has not been able to pin down. Boxes of finished Somali passports from Mogadishu move through the same terminal where Irro and Looge stood declaring Somalia’s paperwork unwelcome, without the fanfare that greeted the e-visa rejection.

If a Somali visa is intolerable, what is a Somali passport, freely issued in Hargeisa with the government’s own knowledge and tolerance?

The leverage nobody has used, yet

Mogadishu is not simply a government with other priorities. For two decades it has been close to the textbook case of a failed state, consistently ranked among the most fragile on earth, and the risk is not abstract: a rapid, Kabul-style collapse to al-Shabaab remains a possibility analysts take seriously, a government that could end in days rather than years. And still, carrying that risk, Somalia runs an open diplomatic campaign to keep Somaliland isolated: lobbying regional governments, rolling out the e-visa, banning Taiwanese passport holders in retaliation for Somaliland’s ties to Taipei. A government that can’t fully secure its own capital has made administratively holding Somaliland hostage a working priority instead. That is not a government with patience to spare for people it doesn’t administer. It is one that has decided this fight matters more.

And yet, across multiple presidents on both sides, it has kept a door open that lets a steady stream of Somaliland citizens be documented by Somalia as Somali nationals, cheaply and with minimal friction. This investigation cannot put a precise number on how many, only that the flow has been continuous across three administrations and shows no sign of slowing.

That’s not generosity. It’s leverage, possibly the single most valuable card Somalia holds. Every citizen who has obtained a passport this way is now functionally dependent on Mogadishu’s continued cooperation. Revoke it, and the disruption lands immediately on however many people have gone through this pipeline over the years, not abstractly on a government in Hargeisa.

Somalia hasn’t exercised that option. It may be the sharpest tool in Mogadishu’s drawer precisely because it stays there, undetonated. A revoked passport creates headlines and a domestic crisis overnight. An always-available one creates dependency instead, and dependency doesn’t need to be used to function as leverage. It only needs to be understood.

There’s a version of this that cuts deeper. Revoking every Somali passport ever issued to a Somaliland citizen in one stroke wouldn’t just create disruption. It would look like Somalia conceding the argument Somaliland has made for thirty-five years, that these were never really its citizens if one decision in Mogadishu could end it.

Continuing to issue does the opposite. A passport system doesn’t discard the records behind the documents it produces, and this one runs on a working line into Somalia’s own federal identity infrastructure, not a scanner in a back room. By its nature, it would generate a record of exactly how many Somaliland citizens have received Somali passports, and who they are, documented, individualized proof of a citizenship relationship Somaliland insists doesn’t exist. That’s not a threat Somalia would need to say out loud. It only needs to be understood. Whether anyone in Mogadishu has thought about it in exactly those terms, this investigation can’t confirm. The pipeline doesn’t need them to have.

Djibouti has run a narrower, documented version of the same play for years, aimed at Somaliland’s political class rather than its ordinary citizens. Canada’s Immigration and Refugee Board found that as far back as 2013, roughly half of Somaliland’s officials at every level held Djiboutian passports, renewed every three years, personally authorized by Djibouti’s president. One Somaliland MP told Somaliland Chronicle he feared losing his own. Foreign Policy magazine called Djibouti a “Friendly Little Dictatorship” with an effective veto over how much of Somaliland’s political class could travel.

That leverage has been exercised, not just held. In December 2025, amid a diplomatic rupture, Djibouti closed its land border with Somaliland and began refusing Somaliland’s own passport at that crossing. Unconfirmed January 2026 reports, sourced only to Mogadishu-aligned outlets, claim Djibouti went further, canceling roughly 1,400 Djiboutian passports held by Somaliland officials. This publication cannot confirm that figure.

Obtaining a Djiboutian passport requires traveling to Djibouti and, by multiple accounts, demonstrating personal loyalty to President Ismail Omar Guelleh. Somalia’s version requires nothing but an appointment and a fee, inside Hargeisa. Djibouti’s leverage runs through proximity to one man. Somalia’s, if this reporting holds, runs through a bureaucratic pipeline that scales.

What role, if any, does the government play?

Nothing in this reporting establishes that Somaliland’s government administers this system. What multiple sources describe instead is tolerance: silent, unbroken, running across administrations that agree on almost nothing else.

Tolerance is not neutrality. Every Somaliland citizen who comes out of that unmarked office with a Somali passport is, at that moment, filed as exactly what Mogadishu has insisted all along Somalilanders still are: citizens of Somalia. If the facilitator office really does contact Somaliland’s own identity agency to verify applicant details, that entanglement runs deeper than a shared record: an institution Somaliland built to assert its own citizens’ identities, functioning as a verification arm for the operation that feeds them into the passport system of the government it was built to be separate from. A government doesn’t have to intend that outcome to produce it. It only has to keep looking away, three administrations running.

The passport as a test of statehood

Somaliland is the state that, on the ground, actually functions. Somalia is the paperwork that has strangled it administratively. This pipeline is not a clever workaround. It is the visible proof of that imbalance.

For the first time, a country, Israel, has said Somaliland’s own passport deserves recognition. At the same moment, Somaliland’s own government has, at minimum, tolerated a system that lets its citizens route around the very document it is fighting the world to recognize, handing Mogadishu fresh proof of the one claim Somaliland says is no longer true.

Necessity can explain why a workaround begins.

It does not, by itself, explain why a workaround becomes an institution.


Response

This publication sought comment from Osman Sh. Mohamed Sh. Isaaq (Osman Marehan), Hamda Egal and Khadar Hussein Harir. All three have declined to comment.

Minister Khadar Hussein Looge did not respond. The Presidency, asked the same questions, redirected inquiries to the Ministry of Interior. This publication was unable to independently corroborate the underlying allegation of his involvement or extent of it.

Written questions went to Minister of Interior Abdalle Mohamed Arab (Sandheere) and Chief of Police Major General Abdirahman Abdillahi Hassan (Abdi Dheere). Neither the written questions nor follow-up calls to either official have been answered. In addition, we sought comment from Somaliland’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The Ministry did not respond.

Some individuals interviewed for this story spoke on condition of anonymity, citing the sensitivity of the subject matter.

Creative Commons License

Notice: This is an article by Somaliland Chronicle. It is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, all reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work is permitted.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

Somaliland President Orders 15 Dialysis Machines Amid Hospital Scandal — No Officials Sanctioned

0

HARGEISA — The President of the Republic of Somaliland, Abdirahman M Abdillahi “Irro” has ordered the urgent procurement of fifteen new dialysis machines and pledged to eliminate all remaining out-of-pocket costs for dialysis patients, according to a statement issued by the Presidency, in the most concrete response yet to a public backlash over conditions at Hargeisa Group Hospital’s kidney unit.

The statement, signed by presidential spokesman Hussein Aadan Cige “Deyr,” followed a visit by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdillahi “Irro” to the hospital’s dialysis department, where he met with hospital administration, health workers, and patients. It lays out three measures: free supplies, fifteen new machines, and a nationwide technical assessment.

Free supplies and new machines

Dialysis treatment itself was already free; the government has now ordered that the small remaining fees patients paid for medications and consumables tied to dialysis — needles, filters, and similar items — be eliminated as well. Separately, the Presidency ordered the “urgent” purchase of fifteen dialysis machines, intended to expand the unit’s capacity, reduce strain on the equipment currently in use, and ensure more patients can be treated at appropriate times.

A nationwide technical review

The most far-reaching measure in the statement is the dispatch of a technical committee to conduct a full assessment not just of Hargeisa Group Hospital but of regional hospitals nationwide. Its mandate covers treatment services, administration and management systems, medical equipment, infrastructure, and patient care, with dialysis units specifically named among the areas under review. The committee is expected to report back to the President with both immediate and long-term recommendations.

That mandate is broad enough to reach the two officials at the center of the controversy: Health Minister Hussein Bashir Hirsi and Ministry Director-General Ahmed Mahamoud Jama, whose handling of the crisis and the hospital’s separate MRI procurement are matters of administration and management within the committee’s stated scope. Whether the review’s findings translate into personnel consequences, or stop at equipment and infrastructure, is likely to determine how this episode is ultimately judged.

The Presidency’s statement reiterated that the government is “committed to the growth and development of the country’s hospitals” within its financial means.

No mention of accountability

The statement does not address whether any official will face consequences over the episode. This publication’s earlier reporting on the crisis — “A Government of Fake Doctors, Real Patients — and a President Who Brought Cameras, Not Answers” — documented that Health Minister Hussein Bashir Hirsi, who publicly accused protesting patients of serving a foreign agenda, does not appear to hold a physician’s license in the U.S. state where he is credentialed, according to a search of the Georgia Composite Medical Board’s public verification system. That reporting also found that the Ministry’s Director-General, Ahmed Mahamoud Jama, told a reporter that MRI machines emit dangerous radiation when asked to explain why a $400,000 MRI purchased by the hospital remains at the seller’s premises — a claim that conflicts with established medical science.

Neither official is mentioned in the Presidency’s new statement, and nothing in it or the government’s earlier public remarks on the visit indicates that either man, or any hospital official beyond the dialysis unit’s head, already replaced, has been dismissed or disciplined.

The fifteen machines and the free-supplies order would, if delivered, address the core complaints raised by protesting patients and by an unverified but detailed social-media account from a self-described former hospital staffer, both of which described patients receiving roughly half the dialysis time recommended by standard medical practice. Whether the technical committee’s review amounts to reform, or to another entry in what this publication’s earlier reporting described as a pattern of crisis management through spending pledges and photo opportunities, will depend on what it finds — and what the government does with it.

This publication sent written questions to the Ministry of Health Development for this story; it had not received a response by the time of publication.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

Somalia Inaugurates Military Facility in Las Anod, Drawing Formal Protest From Somaliland

0

Somalia’s prime minister, Hamza Abdi Barre, inaugurated a Somali National Army facility in Las Anod on August 2, the clearest attempt yet by Mogadishu to project federal authority into territory Somaliland claims as its own. Hargeisa condemned the visit as a violation of its sovereignty. In a statement issued by Somaliland’s Ministry of Information and National Guidance, the government called it a “hurin colaadeed,” a spark for conflict, and said it would pursue “all necessary legal and national measures” in response, urging the African Union, IGAD, and the UN to oppose the move.

It was Barre’s third visit to Las Anod since April 2025. The earlier trips laid foundation stones for development projects and helped broker prisoner exchanges. Federal officials have not disclosed the size, purpose, or staffing of the August 2 facility. Whether it represents a newly established SNA garrison or the formal integration of existing SSC-Khatumo forces into the federal military remains unclear.

Somaliland lost control of Las Anod in early 2023 after months of fighting with clan militias that later aligned themselves with the SSC-Khatumo administration backed by Mogadishu. The visit follows a wave of defections that has unsettled the administration Mogadishu helped establish in Las Anod. On July 30, three days before Barre arrived, four MPs from the Northeastern State parliament resigned and were received in Hargeisa, publicly renouncing “Somaliweyn” and re-pledging allegiance to Somaliland. Among them were figures who had backed the 2023 uprising against Somaliland. Barre’s visit comes as some of the politicians who once supported that uprising have begun publicly returning to Hargeisa.

The August 2 visit also comes seven months after Israel formally recognized Somaliland on December 27, 2025, a move Mogadishu has denounced as an attack on its sovereignty. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud told an emergency joint session of parliament the following day that the recognition amounted to a “naked invasion,” and lawmakers passed a resolution declaring it null and void and warning that violators of Somalia’s sovereignty would face legal consequences. Mohamud has since called the move a threat to regional security, alleged Israel was seeking a military foothold near the Gulf of Aden, and claimed Somaliland agreed to host displaced Palestinians in exchange for recognition, a claim Hargeisa denies. Barre has separately accused President Irro’s inner circle of concealing contacts with Israel.

The inauguration also comes two days after Gen. Dagvin Anderson, the head of U.S. Africa Command, said in Mogadishu on July 31 that continued U.S. engagement in Somalia would become increasingly difficult to sustain. Anderson said the U.S. has “not turned its back” on Somalia, but acknowledged that voices “in Washington and other parts of the country” are asking when Somalia will take over its own security, and said sustained political dysfunction would make it “very hard for us to continue to stay engaged.” He contrasted that instability with battlefield setbacks, noting that territory the U.S.-trained Danab commando force had previously cleared in Lower Shabelle has fallen back under al-Shabaab control and is being retaken a second time.

That warning lands against a broader funding retreat. Washington told the African Union on July 1 that it will not continue funding AUSSOM’s UN-backed logistics support past December 31, citing Mogadishu’s failure to take ownership of its own security functions. The mission’s budget has already been cut by 25 percent, and UN officials have discussed closing the Mogadishu logistics office by year’s end, ending the AU’s role three years earlier than planned. Al-Shabaab has continued to hold ground in the south in the meantime, with checkpoints still ringing Mogadishu’s outskirts.

A day later, on August 1, Maj. Gen. Claude K. Tudor Jr., commander of U.S. Special Operations Command Africa, met President Irro in Hargeisa to discuss Red Sea and Gulf of Aden security, with Irro’s office describing the talks as strategic and both sides voicing interest in deeper defense cooperation. The optics shouldn’t be overstated, though: Tudor’s stop in Hargeisa was one leg of a wider regional tour that also took him through Jubaland and Puntland, both of which are federal member states of Somalia, and the visit doesn’t amount to a change in U.S. policy toward Somaliland’s recognition.

The August 2 condemnation also marks a shift in tone for President Irro’s administration. During the 2023 conflict, Waddani leaders argued the uprising stemmed largely from domestic grievances rather than external interference. Since taking office, the Irro administration has increasingly characterized the conflict as fueled by proxy actors backed by Mogadishu, while continuing to prioritize dialogue and prisoner exchanges over any military response of its own.

The August 2 inauguration marks a shift from symbolic visits to institutional presence. Whether Mogadishu can sustain that presence, militarily, politically, and financially, remains an open question. U.S. officials say Danab units have been forced to recapture previously secured territory in Lower Shabelle, al-Shabaab remains active around Mogadishu, and international funding for the country’s security architecture is expected to decline sharply after December.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

“It’s Going to Be Very Hard to Stay Engaged”: Inside Gen. Anderson’s Warning to Mogadishu

0

AFRICOM’s top commander came to Mogadishu to reassure Somalia. He left having delivered a warning instead.


Gen. Dagvin R.M. Anderson arrived in Mogadishu insisting America had “not turned its back” on Somalia. But beneath the reassurance was a warning Washington rarely delivers so openly: U.S. support has become conditional, patience is wearing thin, and Somalia’s political dysfunction may soon matter more than its battlefield gains.

The headline isn’t that the United States is leaving Somalia. It’s that the general refused to promise it will stay.

The Quiet Threat Inside the Reassurance

Asked point-blank whether speculation about a U.S. withdrawal was true, Anderson pushed back — but not with the blanket reassurance Villa Somalia might have hoped for. He acknowledged that voices “in Washington and other parts of the country” are asking a pointed question: at what point does Somalia become independent and take care of these issues itself?

Then came the sharper line: continued American resourcing isn’t unconditional. If Somalia’s political dysfunction becomes the story instead of the counterterrorism gains, he warned, “it’s going to be very hard for us to continue to stay engaged.”

An AFRICOM commander rarely delivers that warning publicly. It framed everything else Anderson said in Mogadishu.

Washington Isn’t Just Talking — It’s Already Pulled a Plug

Anderson’s warning landed against a policy shift already underway. Weeks before his visit, Washington informed the African Union it would oppose continued UN logistical funding for AUSSOM — the roughly 12,000-strong force doing the ground-holding Anderson himself said Somalia still needs — beyond the end of this year. The mission’s budget has already absorbed a 25 percent cut, and UN officials have discussed the UN Support Office in Mogadishu closing by December 31, ending the AU’s role three years early.

As Washington questions the sustainability of Somalia’s security model, Turkey is moving the opposite direction. Ankara already runs Camp TURKSOM, its largest overseas base. It has locked in long-term security agreements with Mogadishu under a ten-year defense and economic framework signed in 2024. And in January 2026, it deployed F-16s to Somali soil for the first time. While the U.S. asks Somalia to assume more responsibility, Turkey is embedding itself deeper into Somalia’s security architecture.

That’s the vacuum Anderson’s sustainability talk is landing in.

Danab: Built, Handed Over, No Longer Washington’s to Sustain

Anderson’s proudest talking point was Danab, the commando force AFRICOM built into one of the continent’s most capable units. The framing was pointed: the U.S. built it, the U.S. handed it over, and sustaining it now falls to Somalia.

He went further, describing how ground the Danab and the Somali National Army once cleared along the Lower Shabelle — as far as Mubarak, during his own earlier tour with special operations — has since been lost and is being retaken a second time. His diagnosis: the political and security focus wandered elsewhere, and clearing ground without governance behind it just invites the fight to repeat.

The Unnamed Case for Somaliland

Buried in his answer about why Somalia matters strategically, Anderson made the geographic case Somaliland officials have pitched for years — key terrain, critical northern waterways, the entrance to East Africa — without naming Somaliland once.

On the politics, though, his answers deserve to be read separately rather than as one dodge.

Recognition is not his to give. Asked directly, Anderson repeated the standard line: U.S. policy remains the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Federal Republic of Somalia. That answer was never going to be anything else — recognition is a State Department and White House call, and it’s the answer any interviewer walking in should have expected.

What makes that answer harder to read as routine is timing. Seven months earlier, Israel — the United States’ closest security partner in the region — became the first UN member state to formally recognize Somaliland. On December 26, 2025, Netanyahu and Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi signed a joint declaration establishing full diplomatic relations, explicitly framed as “in the spirit of the Abraham Accords.” Israel’s foreign minister followed with an official Hargeisa visit in January. The policy Anderson repeated now diverges from that of one of Washington’s closest regional security partners.

The base question is genuinely more his lane. Asked whether the U.S. plans to build a base in Somaliland, Anderson said there are no such plans. Combatant commanders rarely preview basing decisions in public; his answer therefore reveals little beyond the fact that no such decision has been announced.

That’s where President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s March 2025 letter to Donald Trump becomes relevant. In it, Mohamud offered Washington “exclusive operational control” of Baledogle airfield, Berbera’s port and airfield, and Bosaso’s port. Mohamud’s letter treated Berbera and Bosaso as though Mogadishu could offer them on the same terms as Baledogle. In practice, those facilities are administered by Somaliland and Puntland respectively, meaning any operational agreement would require engagement with those authorities — something Anderson had already done, having met Somaliland’s president, military leadership, and coast guard during his November 2025 visit to Hargeisa and Berbera.

Civilian Casualties: A Familiar Defense

On airstrikes and civilian harm, Anderson leaned on AFRICOM’s standard defense: every credible allegation gets investigated, mistakes have led to reparations, and no military invests more in avoiding civilian harm. He pivoted quickly to al-Shabaab’s own toll on civilians and its record of false claims against U.S. strikes.

The answer reflected AFRICOM’s long-standing public position. Whether it satisfies Somali critics is another question.

The Bottom Line

Anderson arrived in Mogadishu insisting the United States had “not turned its back” on Somalia. He left having acknowledged, more plainly than any senior American official has in years, that continued engagement now depends on what Somalia does next. Washington is still willing to invest. It is still willing to fight alongside its partner. But it is also openly asking how much longer it can justify doing so if political dysfunction continues.

“It’s going to be very hard for us to continue to stay engaged.”

That may prove to be the most consequential sentence uttered in Mogadishu all week. Its unclear if General Anderson will visit Somaliland following his trip to Mogadishu.


This analysis is based on an on-the-record interview with Gen. Dagvin R.M. Anderson, commander of U.S. Africa Command, conducted in Mogadishu. Anderson last visited Somaliland and Puntland in November 2025, as part of a separate trip through the region.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

A Government of Fake Doctors, Real Patients — and a President Who Brought Cameras, Not Answers

0

KEY POINTS

  • Dialysis patients protested Wednesday over broken machines and inflated supply costs; a suspiciously well-timed counter-showing of supportive patients followed within hours.
  • The health minister called the protest a foreign plot, then reversed course; Georgia licensing records show he is a respiratory therapist, not a physician.
  • Thursday’s damage-control visit by President Abdirahman “Irro” featured praise from patients and vague pledges — with the health minister and his director-general conspicuously absent.
  • A separate $400,000 MRI purchase remains at the seller’s premises; the ministry’s director-general defended the arrangement by citing a radiation risk that does not exist.
  • The hospital’s dysfunction, and its officials’ dubious credentials, predate this government — as does the opposition’s own record of neglect and, in KAAH’s chairman, a personal history of graft allegations dating to the Silanyo era.
  • The episode compounds a summer of eroding public trust, including a bungled tax rollout the government struggled to explain.
  • President Abdirahman “Irro”‘s real diplomatic win abroad — Israel’s historic recognition of Somaliland — does nothing for a patient rationing dialysis or a minister who faked his credentials; recognition raises the bar for domestic governance rather than excusing it.

It took the Somaliland government less than twenty-four hours to transform kidney patients from alleged agents of a foreign conspiracy into the grateful backdrop for a presidential hospital visit. The speed of that reversal, and what it reveals about how the government manages public crises, is the real story of this week’s dialysis controversy.

On Wednesday, dozens of dialysis patients — many visibly weak, some too exhausted to stand for long — gathered outside the Presidential Palace and the House of Representatives in Hargeisa. Their complaint was unremarkable by the standards of failing public hospitals everywhere: machines that do not work reliably, supplies priced above what the same items cost at a pharmacy down the road, and appeals to the Ministry of Health Development that had gone nowhere. One protester supplied the arithmetic: a needle that should cost 25,000 Somaliland shillings was being sold to them for 50,000, and a dialysis filter that should cost 6,000 shillings was going for 15,000 — inside the hospital meant to be treating them.

A second group of patients came forward almost immediately, disputing the complaint and praising the hospital’s care. The timing prompted widespread speculation that the second group’s appearance was intended to blunt the original protest before it gained traction. This publication cannot independently confirm that reading; it has not established who organized the second group, or whether it assembled on its own. But the readiness to suspect an official hand behind it says something about how little trust the government has banked with the public it serves.

What the Numbers Show

A detailed account circulating on social media, attributed to someone who says they worked in Hargeisa Group Hospital’s dialysis unit for six months, sets out the shortfall in clinical terms. Standard practice calls for dialysis patients to receive treatment three times a week, four hours a session — twelve hours weekly. According to the account, patients at the hospital are, at best, managing two sessions a week of roughly three hours each: about six hours, or half the protocol. The consequences described are not abstract — fluid and toxin buildup, swelling, an inability to eat or sleep, a slide toward what the writer calls a state “between life and death,” worsened by the absence of a nephrologist on staff at all. The same account lists what patients are left to buy themselves: dialyzer filters, gauze, syringes, infection medication, the anemia treatment Epoetin, sterile gloves, and wound dressings — the same categories of cost the protesting patients cited outside the Palace.

This publication cannot verify the author’s identity or employment history, and the account is testimony, not confirmed fact. But its specificity is not easily dismissed, and it closes with the question the government has yet to answer: given the clinical picture it describes, was the health minister’s “foreign agenda” framing a genuine misreading of a medical emergency, or something else.

The Minister’s response set the tone for what followed. Rather than address the substance, Hussein Bashir Hirsi told reporters the protest was “an organized program that is being pushed by foreigners,” naming journalists and poets as participants in a supposed plot to “disrupt the public and send patients to foreign countries.” Even Somaliland National TV, the state broadcaster, which carried the Minister’s remarks without challenge, could not help noting the oddity of the moment: by its own account, this appeared to be the first time impoverished patients complaining about their own medical treatment had been cast as instruments of a foreign hand. A minister of health, confronted by chronically ill patients asking for cheaper gauze and working machines, had reached instead for the language of subversion. In the same breath, he conceded the underlying complaint was real, announcing that dialysis and some supplies would now be free and that the unit’s leadership would be replaced with a doctor of the patients’ own choosing. The reversal sits uneasily beside the claim that the protest was principally a foreign-organized operation.

The political cost was immediate. The story dominated the news cycle within hours, with opposition figures and ordinary Somalilanders alike calling for the Minister’s resignation, along with that of the hospital’s leadership and the dialysis unit’s.

Thursday brought the government’s second move. President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdillahi “Irro” arrived at the hospital in person, a day after the protest began, in a scene familiar to anyone who has watched a Somaliland administration manage a scandal before. Notably absent from his side were the two officials most responsible for the week’s controversies: neither Minister Hirsi nor Director-General Ahmed Mahamoud Jama accompanied him into the ward. In their place was the Chief of Police — an unusual choice of company for a hospital visit, and one that did little to dispel the sense that this was damage control rather than inspection. Their absence is corroborated by the Presidency’s own account of the visit: a statement issued by spokesman Hussein Aadan Cige “Deyr” describes the President receiving his briefing from the hospital’s own director-general, and makes no mention of either the Health Minister or his ministry’s director-general attending at all. The President toured the dialysis ward, sat with patients, and, by the Presidency’s account, heard uniform praise for the very unit that, less than twenty-four hours earlier, patients had been too weak to stand in front of the Palace complaining about. Healthcare, the statement quotes him telling those gathered, is “a national duty,” with government bearing the greatest responsibility for ensuring it. “Many more kidney machines are coming — the government is committed to meeting the need,” President Abdirahman “Irro” told those gathered, a pledge the Presidency’s own statement echoed only in vaguer form afterward, promising “urgent” action on machines and supplies without a timeline or a figure attached. He then turned to the hospital’s own administrators, where his tone shifted to a warning — delivered privately to the people responsible rather than publicly to the people affected — that mismanagement and mistreatment of patients “will not be tolerated.”

The Presidency’s own statement described praise from patients, a promise of more machines, and a private warning to hospital administrators. It made no reference to the Minister’s allegation that the protest had been orchestrated by foreign actors.

The Man Behind the Title

One detail sharpens the sting of the Minister’s dismissal. Hussein Bashir Hirsi is publicly known, and refers to himself, as “Dr.” Hussein Bashir Hirsi. A search of the Georgia Composite Medical Board’s public license-verification system — the licensing authority in the U.S. state where Hirsi is credentialed — lists him under the name “Hersi, Hussein Bashir” with an expired license as a Respiratory Care Professional, number 7656. No Georgia physician license appears under his name. Respiratory therapy is a legitimate allied-health profession, but it is not medicine, and it carries none of the training, residency, or board examinations that the title “Doctor” commonly implies to the public he now serves as Somaliland’s senior-most health official.

None of this disqualifies Hirsi from ministerial office; plenty of health ministers, in plenty of countries, are not physicians. What it sharpens is a question of standing. A minister who does not appear to hold a physician’s license nevertheless stood before dialysis patients — people whose survival depends on functioning kidneys and honest information about their own care — and accused them of serving foreign interests rather than engaging with a legitimate complaint about pricing and equipment. The credential gap proves nothing about the truth of that accusation on its own. But it raises broader questions about transparency over professional credentials in senior public appointments, in a case where the same official’s judgment is otherwise at issue. This publication sent written questions to the Ministry of Health Development for this story; it had not received a response by the time of publication.

A Second Procurement Question, and a Curious Explanation

A second allegation surfaced this week, concerning imaging rather than dialysis. Hargeisa Group Hospital paid $400,000 for a used MRI machine that has not moved: it remains installed at the seller’s original premises, a former private medical lab, with reports that the hospital is now also paying that seller rent to keep it there.

The Ministry has its own account of the delay. Minister Hirsi told Dawan, the state-run newspaper, that the MRI was a domestic purchase rather than an import, and that it remains at the site where it was bought while a permanent home is built — the same arrangement, he said, used for three newly acquired CT-scan machines, one already running in Borama, one under construction in Ceerigaabo, and one being installed in Berbera. He said the ministry has arranged transport for patients to and from the MRI, and that pricing is set below private rates, with patients unable to pay treated free of charge. If accurate, that explains why the machine has not relocated. It does not address whether the hospital is separately paying rent in the interim — a question the Ministry has not spoken to directly, and one worth putting to it plainly rather than assuming the worst in its silence.

What is not in dispute, and what the Ministry’s account does not resolve, is a separate exchange over the machine’s underlying technology. Asked by a reporter to explain the arrangement, Director-General Ahmed Mahamoud Jama said MRI machines emit powerful and unsafe radiation, and that the current site is equipped to contain it safely.

That explanation conflicts with established medical science. Magnetic resonance imaging uses magnetic fields and radio waves to produce diagnostic images; it carries none of the ionizing radiation exposure associated with X-ray or CT scanning, and requires none of the shielding those technologies mandate. This is not a matter of interpretation but a settled fact of the technology, one any administrator procuring imaging equipment should know before signing for it.

Either the Director-General misunderstood the technology his ministry purchased, or he offered an explanation inconsistent with established medical science, wagering that a reporter’s question would not be followed up on. Whatever the reason, the justification does not withstand scrutiny. The Ministry’s broader defense — that a permanent site is under construction, as with the CT-scan rollout — may ultimately prove sufficient. But the specific explanation Jama offered for why the machine remains at its current location does not.

A Pattern, Not an Incident

None of this occurs in a vacuum, and none of it is new. Hargeisa Group Hospital has drawn corruption and mismanagement reporting for years, under more than one government. In 2019, this publication reported that an incoming hospital director had inherited a $423,000 debt in unpaid electricity bills and medicine purchases from his predecessor, with staff pointing to the lavish lifestyles of hospital employees as evidence of graft they could not otherwise prove. In 2020, the hospital’s entire management team, save one holdover, was fired by presidential order following allegations of corruption and missing funds, after a string of patient deaths attributed to a lack of oxygen. Nor is the credentials problem confined to the current minister: this publication reported as far back as 2018 that the National Health Professionals Commission, the body responsible for licensing every doctor and health worker in Somaliland, was chaired for years by a veterinarian rather than a physician. The pattern predates President Abdirahman “Irro”, predates Hirsi, and predates this week’s headlines. What is new is who now presides over it.

That matters because President Irro campaigned explicitly on change, promising a break from the patronage and drift of the government he replaced; his Waddani party built its legitimacy on the claim that its officials would govern differently. The dialysis and MRI episodes complicate that promise directly — it is his own health minister making the foreign-agents accusation, and his own director-general offering an account of MRI technology that is simply false. The public shorthand for the wider problem, “G+1” — a reference to the ground-plus-one villas rising across Hargeisa’s newer neighborhoods, informal slang for wealth that officials’ salaries do not obviously explain — predates this government but has attached itself readily to Waddani figures now serving in it. Despite mounting calls for a cabinet reshuffle, the President has kept his government intact.

The silence of two figures stands out in particular. Khadar Hussein Abdi, once Waddani’s secretary-general and now Minister of the Presidency, spent his years in opposition publicly attacking then-President Muse Bihi Abdi over neglect of the same hospital, noting in circulating video clips that it sits barely 200 meters from the Presidential Palace — by his own estimate; the actual distance is somewhat greater — and yet was left to decay in plain sight. The current Minister of Information, Culture and National Guidance, Barkhad Jama Hersi Batun, arrested alongside Khadar Hussein Abdi in 2019 during a crackdown on Waddani’s leadership, made similar appeals from the opposition benches, delivering emotional accusations of malpractice against the Bihi government’s handling of the same institution. Neither man has said a word about this week’s crisis at the hospital now under his own party’s watch. The silence extended to the cabinet table: Mahmoud Hashi Abdi, chairman of the opposition KAAH party, noted that the Council of Ministers met the day after the protest and did not so much as raise the public’s complaint.

The opposition’s own response has been to capitalize on the moment rather than reckon with its record. Parties built from the remains of Muse Bihi Abdi’s Kulmiye-led government — the same government under which Hargeisa Group Hospital accumulated the 2019 debt scandal, the 2020 mass firings, and the oxygen-shortage deaths this publication documented at the time — have cast themselves as the patients’ champions this week. Kulmiye’s deputy chairman, Abdiqasiis Mohamed Samale, visited the hospital’s kidney department and personally pledged two dialysis machines, bringing the opposition’s combined pledges to three in a single day, against the government’s own vaguer promise of unspecified new equipment. Former Technology Minister Abdiweli Soufi, also of Kulmiye, was blunter: “The Waddani government has been in office a year and a half, and we still haven’t seen a single health facility they’ve opened.” The machines may well help patients in the near term, and desperate patients have little reason to refuse them. But the neglect that left Hargeisa Group Hospital short of working equipment did not begin when Waddani took office, and an opposition that nurtured the same starved system for years is not a credible messenger for the outrage it is now amplifying. Somalilanders are being asked to choose between a government that denies its failures and an opposition that inherited them and prefers amnesia to accountability.

Nor does the KAAH party offer cleaner hands. Its chairman, Mahmoud Hashi Abdi, is a veteran of the Silanyo era, when he held several ministerial portfolios in what critics still regard as Somaliland’s most patronage-riddled administration. As aviation minister, he oversaw the 2013 reconstruction of Hargeisa Airport’s runway, funded by a $10 million Kuwait Fund grant — a project this publication has since linked, through the officials who passed through it, to the patronage networks still surfacing in credential scandals at the Presidency a decade on. In the same post, he announced Somaliland’s 2013 agreement to jointly manage Somali airspace with Mogadishu, a deal critics at the time said conceded ground to the federal government’s claim of legal authority over airspace Somaliland considers its own. None of that disqualifies him from criticizing a cabinet that ignored sick patients; the criticism is fair regardless of who makes it. But it is a reminder that in Somaliland’s political class, today’s loudest critic of corruption is often yesterday’s practitioner of it — and a public asked to trust these messengers would do well to count its fingers after shaking their hands.

A Wider Well of Discontent

The dialysis and MRI episodes are not free-standing scandals; they are the latest entries in a longer ledger of public frustration with the government of President Abdirahman “Irro”. The dialysis controversy also landed against a backdrop of declining public confidence following the government’s troubled rollout of a new Goods and Services Tax this summer — confusion over the levy forced officials to postpone its implementation from July 11 to August 1, and reportedly required enlisting social-media influencers to explain it to the public — reinforcing an impression that officials respond to criticism reactively rather than transparently.

A government already fending off suspicion over G+1 villas and unexplained official wealth, and already struggling to explain a tax rollout it could not clearly communicate to its own public, was always going to be read uncharitably the moment its health minister accused sick citizens of serving a foreign agenda. The episode may not be the deepest wound in President Abdirahman “Irro”‘s governing record, and it may not even be the most costly one this month. But it is the most visible, because it involves people whose suffering cannot be explained away with a hospital tour and a photograph.

Recognition Abroad, Reckoning at Home

President Abdirahman “Irro”‘s government has undeniably secured significant diplomatic gains, most notably Israel’s formal recognition of Somaliland’s independence on December 26, 2025 — a first for any Somaliland leader — along with a meeting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and an invitation to the World Economic Forum in Davos. Those achievements deserve acknowledgment, and the 63.92% of voters who elected him in a landslide in November 2024 gave him a real mandate to pursue them. But foreign-policy success cannot substitute for competent domestic governance. Recognition abroad raises, rather than lowers, the standard by which a government is judged at home — and a minister who does not appear to hold a physician’s license in the jurisdiction where he is credentialed, a director-general who cannot distinguish an MRI from an X-ray, and patients rationing their own dialysis time are not the record of a government that has earned the benefit of the doubt.

The government can replace the head of a dialysis unit. It can purchase more machines. It can promise better oversight.

Trust is harder to replace.

On Wednesday, patients believed the only way to be heard was to leave their hospital and protest outside the Presidential Palace. On Thursday, the government returned to the hospital with cameras. Whether it returns with lasting reform will determine whether this week’s photographs become evidence of accountability — or merely another entry in Somaliland’s long archive of political damage control.

Creative Commons License

Notice: This is an article by Somaliland Chronicle. It is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, all reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work is permitted.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

Somaliland’s Quiet Capture: Why Dahabshiil Demands an Independent Investigation 

0

Imagine a single private company holding every lever of government in its hands — shaping decisions, subverting the rule of law to fleece Somaliland, and quietly absorbing state institutions into its own machinery through deception and bribes. That is no longer a hypothetical in Somaliland, a country that has craved diplomatic recognition since 1991. 

Many Somalilanders increasingly fear that this is precisely what has happened. At the center of those concerns is Dahabshiil — also known as “Dhiigshiil” — Somaliland’s largest financial and telecommunications conglomerate. Its rise from a small grocery business in Burao to one of the Horn of Africa’s largest enterprises is, by any measure, a remarkable business success. But commercial success does not place any company above public accountability.

Founder Mohamed Said Duale entered the remittance business in the 1980s, serving Somali migrant workers across the Gulf. When the United States shut down the rival Al-Barakat network after the September 11 attacks over terrorism-financing allegations, Dahabshiil expanded rapidly to fill the vacuum. Critics argue that this growing economic power was gradually converted into political influence — first through campaign financing for the Kulmiye party, and later through close relationships with successive administrations, including that of current President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi “Cirro.”

Perhaps the most alarming development involves the Guurti, Somaliland’s House of Elders — a stabilizing institution long relied on for oversight during national crises, and one of the few checks capable of resisting political or commercial influence, provided it stays independent.

That’s why the recent selection of its leadership deserves scrutiny. After chairman Suleiman Aden resigned for health reasons, Muse Abdi Dualeh — a cousin of Dahabshiil founder Mohamed Said Duale — was chosen to succeed him. Several outlets have alleged the process was shaped by bribery and pressure to secure the post for a relative of the founder. Those allegations remain unproven, but if true, they’d suggest Somaliland’s final constitutional safeguard has itself become vulnerable to private influence.

The years following Kulmiye’s 2010 election victory remain especially contested. As President Ahmed Mohamed “Silanyo’s” health declined, critics say individuals with close Dahabshiil ties exercised outsized influence over government decision-making, blurring the boundary between private interest and public office. Among those frequently named is Hersi Hassan, a former Dahabshiil employee and relative of the founder, who now chairs the ruling Waddani party.

Over the past decade, journalists, opposition figures, former officials, and civil society activists have accused Dahabshiil of systematically extracting public wealth through political influence and the abuse of state power. If accurate, these allegations would represent one of the largest transfers of public assets into private hands in Somaliland’s history. Critics point to the transfer of valuable public land — including the former Traffic Police headquarters and colonial-era government buildings in the Shacab area — without competitive bidding or public disclosure. They also cite the handover of Hargeisa’s electricity utility, serving some 250,000 customers, to a Dahabshiil affiliate later rebranded Sompower, through what critics describe as a noncompetitive process. Consumers subsequently faced rising electricity prices, alongside unanswered questions about a reported $40 million World Bank-funded energy project.

Additional accusations include the construction of a fuel storage facility in Berbera without the required safety permits, an attempted seizure of the Berbera Cement Factory — blocked only after intervention by Sahel clan elders — and coordinated currency hoarding that critics say amounted to manipulation of the Somaliland shilling. If proven, the latter would rank among the most serious economic abuses in the country’s history.

These concerns are not rumor alone. In 2019, Freedom House reported that Somaliland’s Public Accounts Committee had uncovered widespread misuse of government funds during the Silanyo administration and had formally requested an investigation by the attorney general. None followed. Instead, committee chairman Nasir Ali Shire — who had publicly questioned Dahabshiil’s land acquisitions — was removed from his post by the Speaker of Parliament. To many observers, the message was unmistakable: exposing alleged corruption carried greater political risk than investigating it.

Whether any of these allegations could ultimately be substantiated in court is a matter for investigators, not opinion writers. But the volume, consistency, and persistence of the claims — combined with documented institutional failures to examine them — demand far more than official silence.

The appropriate response is neither rumor nor denial — it is independent investigation. The government should establish a credible commission empowered to examine public land transfers, government contracts, donor-funded projects, election interference, and currency manipulation.  Its findings should be made public, and prosecutions should follow wherever evidence leads. 

But I remain skeptical that the current Waddani administration will initiate such an investigation against a company so deeply intertwined with Somaliland’s political establishment. If the government refuses to act, peaceful civic pressure — including a voluntary consumer boycott of Dahabshiil’s businesses — becomes one of the few remaining courses of action open to citizens. Such a boycott would not be a declaration of guilt. It would be a demand for transparency and equal justice under the law.

Ultimately, this is no longer a debate about one corporation. It is a debate about whether Somaliland remains a republic governed by law, or gradually becomes a state where economic power determines political power — as it did for the Gupta family in South Africa. An independent investigation would either clear Dahabshiil’s name or expose wrongdoing where it exists. Either outcome would strengthen Somaliland’s democracy. Refusing to investigate accomplishes only one thing: it teaches citizens that power, not justice, decides who is held accountable. That is how state capture succeeds — not in one dramatic moment, but one unanswered allegation at a time.

Somaliland’s patriots did not fight, and did not die, for a nation that could be quietly auctioned off to whoever controls the money-transfer market. The Guurti does not belong to Dahabshiil. The government does not belong to Dahabshiil. The republic does not belong to Dahabshiil. Somaliland belongs to its people — and it is time its government proved it believes that.

About the Author

Ali-Guban Mohamed is a political analyst specializing in Horn of Africa politics and security, and the founder and editor of Gubanmedia.com, a site dedicated to news, analysis, and commentary on the region.


Disclaimer: The viewpoints expressed by the authors do not necessarily reflect the opinions, or viewpoints of Somaliland Chronicle, and its staff. 

Creative Commons License

Notice: This article by Somaliland Chronicle is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, all reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work are permitted.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.

Somaliland’s Recognition Institute Is Built for a Legal Fight, But Recognition Is a Political Fight

0

by Brian McDonald

Somaliland launched a new institute in May 2026 dedicated to advancing international recognition, and it was a step to add expertise and intensify efforts to gain recognition by an institution solely dedicated for that purpose. The question now is whether the institute’s focus matches the political realities that actually decide recognition.

The Somaliland Recognition and Independence Institute was inaugurated by Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi in Hargeisa. The goal is to professionalise and deepen the efforts to gain recognition by launching a dedicated institute for that sole purpose, an institute that brings together the best and brightest from the legal community, academia, diplomats and advocates.

The Institute’s Goals and Focus Areas

The institute intends to document Somaliland’s history and national struggle, strengthen and present the legal arguments for recognition, and pursue justice and reparations for historical crimes like the Isaaq genocide and injustices committed against Somaliland and its people. It also aims to coordinate and support efforts by a global network of more than two thousand international supporters described as “friends of Somaliland,” bringing together academics, legal experts, diplomats and advocates.

The institute can also play a practical supporting role in advocacy abroad. While the core legal case for recognition is already well researched, it can organise workshops and produce clear materials that equip the network of roughly two thousand friends of Somaliland to present the case more effectively.

The institute represents a clear institutional advance as they enable specialists to dedicate all their time and research to advance recognition to complement the government’s efforts. And the involvement of experienced figures such as Sir Gavin Williamson as chairman and Jason McCue as director adds credibility and access through their networks that would otherwise be harder to obtain. To give you an idea, Sir Gavin Williamson is an experienced British politician who has served as Chief Whip of his party, he served as Secretary of State for Defence and Secretary of State for Education, and Jason McCue is an acclaimed British human rights lawyer and international justice campaigner who has previously acted as a Presidential Envoy for Somaliland.

Is the Strong Legal Focus of the Institute the Right Focus to Advance Recognition?

The case for (re)recognition of Somaliland is from both a legal and historic perspective arguably among the strongest cases of any entity seeking (re)recognition today. First of all Somaliland meets the gold standard in international law regarding statehood, the Montevideo convention criteria; it has a permanent population, it has a clear defined territory based on the borders of the former British Somaliland Protectorate, it has a stable and functioning government. And it has the capacity to enter into international relations. It maintains many diplomatic relations, Hargeisa is home to many diplomatic liaison offices, and it has its first official embassy and ambassador in Israel.

Furthermore in 1960 Somaliland briefly existed as an independent state recognised by approximately thirty-five countries before entering a union with Somalia that was never properly ratified. As an indigenous people, Somalilanders hold the right to self-determination under the UN Charter. The African Union’s own 2005 Fact-Finding Mission to Somaliland described the case as “historically unique” and “self-justified in African political history.”

What sets Somaliland especially apart from every other territory currently seeking diplomatic recognition, including South Ossetia, Abkhazia and Western Sahara, is this combination: a period of internationally recognised independent statehood, followed by a union that the African Union’s own fact-finding mission concluded was never ratified. None of these other cases has ever held recognised independent statehood in the first place, let alone a documented finding that a subsequent union was unratified. The distinction is not one of ordering, but of ingredients: these elements are missing from their cases altogether and make the case for recognition by Somaliland stand out globally.

But diplomatic recognition is not primarily a legal question. It is fundamentally a political decision made by governments based on political arguments mostly. Leaders weigh national interests (it is very much transactional based on what is in it for a country), alliances like ties to Somalia, great-power competition, and domestic political calculations, including the fear of setting precedents in countries that themselves face separatist or secessionist movements. And despite the fact that Somaliland is not a secessionist entity but a restored independent state, those political concerns still influence decision-makers.

A good example of how politics determine recognition, not legal arguments, is Kosovo. Kosovo received major-power political backing during and after a war against Serbia, particularly from the United States and much of NATO, and now has upwards of 100 recognitions worldwide, depending on the source. Kosovo didn’t win those recognitions based on their legal case, but simply because enough major world powers backed its independence.

In contrast, entities such as South Ossetia, Abkhazia and Western Sahara remain largely unrecognised despite their own claims, because the political calculus has not shifted in their favour. This is because politics dominate decisions about recognition; legal arguments are merely used to support a case, they do not determine the outcome.

Given this reality, the institute’s current heavy public emphasis toward strengthening and presenting the legal arguments for recognition seems out of touch with what drives recognition. The political and strategic dimensions that actually move governments remain quite underdeveloped in the publicly described mandate.

A Much Needed Course Correction

Because recognition is primarily a political decision, several concrete areas remain underdeveloped and would strengthen the institute’s ability to influence recognition.

First, systematic profiling of countries who could be open to recognition is needed. This should examine not only general friendliness to Somaliland and openness to recognition, but also their alliances, opposing interests, incentives, and the larger regional and global power-competition dynamics in which they operate. This way the institute can determine which countries are most promising when it comes to recognition and which countries are for now not a realistic option. This prevents using resources to court countries that have no intention whatsoever to recognise Somaliland and enables the government to focus on the most promising countries. Profiling, however, is only the starting point; each promising country then needs its own tailored strategy, since no single approach fits all. Some governments may be prepared to move relatively quickly to formal recognition. For most, recognition is more likely to emerge from a gradual process of deepening economic or security ties until the relationship reaches a point where formal recognition becomes the logical next step.

Somaliland’s own experience illustrates the difference. Relations with the United Arab Emirates developed over years: early contacts grew into major investments in Berbera port, now a state of the art deep sea port run by DP World under a long-term concession worth up to $442 million, as reported by Reuters, followed by investment in power, airport upgrades, and a planned railway link to Ethiopia. The UAE now accepts Somaliland passports and its visa system lists Somaliland as a country like any other recognised country, there are direct flights between the UAE and Somaliland, and the UAE maintains a military presence. It is a deep relationship that amounts now to a form of soft recognition, stopping just short of the formal kind. Israel took a shorter path: after a relatively short period of negotiations recognition came first, on 26 December 2025, and after recognition launched cooperation in water, agriculture, healthcare, business and security, including training Somaliland’s special forces, as confirmed by Somaliland’s Defence Minister to Reuters. Two countries who followed two very different pathways. This is where the institute can add real value: profiling candidates, then designing country-specific strategies matched to each partner’s interests, comfort level and political sensitivities.

Second, the institute and its vast network can organise multi-level engagement with political decision-makers, opinion leaders, media and policy influencers in the most promising countries. This is essential as recognition is advanced by the people who shape policy and influence it. The institute can support their global network with targeted workshops: it can offer media training for advocates in the press, and lobbying and policy-brief drafting for those actively lobbying in political circles. It can also draw on its own profiling work to supply advocates and diaspora professionals with country-specific messaging and briefings.

Third, clear strategies are needed to counter opposing campaigns and even anticipate them so the institute’s network and the government can be prepared for that, particularly those mounted by Somalia, so Somaliland’s narrative isn’t left undefended. Responses can range from media campaigns and lobbying to a deliberate sequencing strategy: prioritising bilateral, country-to-country recognitions first, while avoiding international forums where Somalia and its allies could engineer a visible diplomatic loss. By focusing on bilateral recognitions and building a critical mass of recognitions, Somaliland can accumulate concrete wins; only once that critical mass exists does it become safer to engage multilateral institutions, where existing recognitions outweigh opposition. In parallel, the institute can monitor the arguments used by opposing campaigns and supply rapid-response briefings the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and supporters can deploy.

Fourth, Somaliland should define its own interests and red lines on economic, security and governance questions that may arise in any future recognition-related discussions. Because recognition usually involves negotiations that touch on both countries’ interests, entering such conversations unprepared risks a bad deal.

Fifth, mechanisms to track and convert existing operational and practical relationships into formal political recognition over time would turn day-to-day engagement into lasting results.

Equally important is the question of local ownership. The international leadership brings valuable stature and experience. At the same time, well-intentioned outsiders can miss certain domestic and regional sensitivities, historical nuances and the informal dynamics that shape relations in the Horn of Africa and neighbouring regions. A practical middle path is to preserve the international expertise while pairing it with Somalilanders in co-chair and comparable positions at every level. This ensures that local knowledge and national interest are integrated and prevents blind spots.

Finally, the institute should be designed to complement, not compete with, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The Ministry already carries out important diplomatic work and has been building professional capacity, including through its own diplomatic training programmes. The institute can usefully serve as an advanced expertise and talent centre that develops specialised knowledge on priority regions and aspects of recognition strategy, then feeds that capacity back into the Ministry.

Conclusion

The Somaliland Recognition and Independence Institute is a positive institutional development. Its strengths in documentation, justice work, international networking and the practical equipping of supporters are real. To maximise its contribution, however, its centre of gravity needs to reflect the nature of the decision it seeks to influence.

Recognition is driven primarily by political calculations and political actors. Legal and historical work remain important, but the legal case itself is already well established and researched, and the institute’s current focus misses the fact that politics drive recognition. A clearer and greater focus on the political dimensions, combined with structural pairing of international expertise and Somalilander leadership at all levels, and close complementarity with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, would better equip the institute to advance Somaliland’s national interest in a sustained and effective manner.

The foundation has been laid. The real test is whether the institute will now refocus itself toward the political arena where recognition is actually decided.

About the Author

Brian McDonald, a columnist and geopolitical analyst who spent years in the Middle East, Singapore, Eastern and Southern Africa. He posts in various publications on current events. Mr. McDonald holds an MA in global governance, politics and security and is postgrad at the Defense studies department of Kings College London.


Disclaimer: The viewpoints expressed by the authors do not necessarily reflect the opinions, or viewpoints of Somaliland Chronicle, and its staff. 

Creative Commons License

Notice: This article by Somaliland Chronicle is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, all reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work are permitted.

📌 Never miss Somaliland Chronicle

Add us as your Preferred Source and see our stories first on Google.